Apple kicks Wintel in the teeth; Windows PC market share plummets to all-time low

Canalys reported today that global client PC shipments rose 12% year on year in Q2 2012. Growth in pads more than compensated for disappointing sales of Ultrabooks. The new iPad had the biggest single impact on growth rates in the quarter, but Asus and Samsung made progress with their Transformer and Galaxy Tab product lines. Total pad shipments increased 75% to 24 million units, representing 22% of all PCs.

“Reports that poor economic conditions and the wait for Windows 8 hurt the PC industry this quarter do not tell the whole story,” said Tom Evans, Canalys Research Analyst, in the press release. “The PC industry is performing well and 2012 is shaping up to be a record year. Vendors with innovative products will reap the rewards.”

Apple retook the overall lead with an estimated 19% share of global PC shipments, helped by strong iPad sales. “There is now a large base of replacement buyers that simply must have the latest Apple product, and the decision to continue shipping the iPad 2 at lower price points has opened up new customers, for example in education,” Evans added. “One drawback of the stand-out retina display in the new iPad, however, is the increased storage demanded by HD content. An upgrade, without a big price increase, is a must for the next generation of product.”

Canalys: Worldwide PC market share, Q2 2012 vs. Q2 2011

Samsung was the leading Android pad vendor in Q2, more than doubling its Galaxy Tab shipments compared to a year ago. It remains Apple’s chief challenger in pads, but Asus made the biggest gains this quarter, particularly in the US, following the launch of the TF300 at a sub-$400 price point. It is now the third largest pad vendor globally.

Canalys Research Analyst Pin Chen Tang said in the press release, “Joining forces with Google to produce the sub-$200 Google Nexus 7 will further strengthen the role of Asus in this market. Amazon must now launch a more powerful replacement for the Kindle Fire, and expand internationally, or see its pad business fail.” Canalys estimates that shipments of the Kindle Fire were below 500,000 in Q2, down significantly compared to previous quarters.

Canalys: Worldwide PC market share, Q2 2012 vs. Q2 2011, geographic markets

In contrast to pads, Windows PC shipments continued to disappoint. Ultrabooks have not hit the price points that could excite large numbers of buyers and the share of the overall market taken by Windows fell to a new low of 73%. Intel’s share also hit an all-time low, falling below 70%. But against this dark background there were some bright points. Lenovo continued to gain share, thanks to a strong home market, a focus on emerging markets and increased attention to the consumer category overall. Acer improved too, compared to a terrible Q2 a year ago. While results in its former strongholds of Italy and Spain remained poor, it made good progress in the more buoyant markets of Russia, Germany and the UK. Furthermore, improved brand awareness through its Olympics sponsorship should translate into increased sales in the second half of the year.

HP was the second largest PC vendor in Q2 with 12% share. The sensible cost-saving decision to merge its PC and printing divisions impacted its first half, but a Canalys survey of channel partners revealed that a large majority think this will have a positive (or neutral) effect on their future business. After spending time focusing on internal issues, and with the new PPS organization largely in place, a period of stability will enable HP to rebuild momentum.

Perhaps the biggest talking point of the quarter was Microsoft’s decision to launch its own pads – the Surface and Surface Pro. “The information available to date suggests the prices of both will be too high to capture significant market share, and a direct sales approach will prove inadequate. We expect the Surface pads to have a similar impact on the PC industry as the Zune did in portable music players,” commented Canalys Analyst Tim Coulling.

MacDailyNews Take: Smirk.

Canalys has advised PC vendors (Microsoft’s OEMs) to postpone launches of Windows RT pads until Microsoft rethinks the high license fee. Chris Jones, Canalys VP and Principal Analyst, added, “Microsoft has upset some partners by bringing its own hardware to market. Marketing, distributing and servicing such hardware profitably is hard. Once the Surface makes a material dent in Microsoft’s P&L, it will need to repair relationships with PC vendors, who are already preparing lists of demands.”

The Windows 8 launch budget guarantees attention during Q4, but users will only benefit fully from the new OS if they buy PCs with touch screens, which will significantly increase the purchase price. Canalys does not expect the launch of Windows 8 to arrest Microsoft’s market share decline until Q3 2013 at the earliest. Canalys recommends that Microsoft helps its OEMs hit mainstream price points for Windows 8 touch-screen products, for example by subsidizing touch panel production costs by $50 to $100 per unit, to kick-start the market. Intel pledged to invest $300m in Ultrabook ecosystem players, but there is no indication, as yet, that Microsoft is prepared to make a comparable commitment to the PC supply chain.

Note: Canalys defines a client PC as a computing device designed to be operated by an individual and positioned to serve a broad range of purposes, achieved by running third-party applications, some of which can work independently of a network connection. When designed to be portable, it must be able to function without mains power and have a built-in display of at least 7 inches in diagonal.

Source: Canalys

MacDailyNews Take: “Wintel” has shed 9 percentage points of market share in a single year. Revolutionary iPad, indeed.

When we wrote the following seven and a half years ago, a lot of people laughed:

As we have always said, even as many short-sightedly waved (and continue to wave) the white flag, the war is not over. And, yes, we shall prevail… No company is invincible. Not even Microsoft.MacDailyNews Take, January 10, 2005

Who’s laughing now?

Related articles:
Apple Mac, Windows PC killer – January 12, 2012
U.S. Windows PC shipments drop 6% in holiday quarter as Apple Macs surge 21% – January 11, 2012
J.P. Morgan: Apple’s MacBook Air to dominate ultrabook market – December 12, 2011
Why Apple will be the world’s #1 personal computer maker in 2012 – December 5, 2011
Apple on track to overtake HP, become leading global PC vendor – November 21, 2011
Gartner: Apple Mac share up 20% in Europe YOY as PC shipments plunge 11.4% – November 14, 2011
Surging iPad shipments propel Apple to #1 in worldwide mobile computer market share – February 16, 2011
Canalys unafraid to count iPad, puts Apple third in worldwide PC market share – January 26, 2011
DisplaySearch not afraid to count iPad: Apple #1 mobile PC maker in North America, #3 in world – December 7, 2010

28 Comments

  1. When an unreleased product’s potential sales are compared to the Zune’s sales, you know you’re in trouble. I hope the product manager has updated his or her resume.

  2. Hey, MDN (*cough* Steve Jack),

    Despite your brand of politics, got to give you credit for what you said over seven years ago. At the time, I hoped it would become true, but I had my doubts.

    Go  and AAPL!

  3. Let me make sure I have this right. Windows market share is now only 73% when iPads are counted as computers. Wow!

    Where is a Windows fanboy so I can beat him over the head with that number.

    1. But Apple had a terrible quarter… and expectations were at an all time low…

      Many said that Apple’s glory days are over, so where did these market share figures come from and do they have any meaning at all to Wall Street.

      /s

  4. A word of caution…

    With virtually all writers and analysts downplaying the future impact of the Surface devices everyone needs to be ready for the inevitable stories of “Surface selling MUCH better than anyone expected!”

    It may still be selling very poorly, but if writers can drive expectations into the ground even a mediocre showing will be portrayed in the media as outstanding.

    Just be prepared.

  5. …”Once the Surface makes a material dent in Microsoft’s P&L, it will need to repair relationships with PC vendors, who are already preparing lists of demands…””

    So, Microsoft is now going to try their hand (again) at selling hardware (tablets) and by doing it, angering OEMs. The thinking likely goes: “We could always strongarm OEMs into buying our Windows licenses — they don’t really have any other choice anyway. Except, with tablet, they do, and most even prefer the Android choice. The only reason OEMs would want to PAY for the tablet OS (for Windows Tablet) is to hedge their bets, in case there is some major legal setback against Android and in favour of Apple. They don’t need MS; MS needs them, and they apparently don’t realise this.

    1. microsoft and hardware.. I smell a stench of an xbox 360 first gen failure coming along. All the consistent software failures now in matching hardware.

      Would be a profit loss if they actually sell enough for anyone to return.

  6. MDN your 2005 take also applies to Apple today. It does not take much for fortunes to turn around. All this talk about Apple’s money is simply childish as Apple is a public company hence the brand Apple is just that a brand and monies are owned by the shareholders.

  7. As MDN has also said, and unfortunately I am unable to remember where, so I am paraphrasing: Microsoft may yet come out a winner in all this legal wrangling, if Apple is successful in humbling Google/Android and their handset distributors (Samsung, e.g.), by making the Android OS too expensive or too crippled.

  8. “…the war is not over. And, yes, we shall prevail… No company is invincible. Not even Microsoft. – MacDailyNews Take, January 10, 2005”

    In 2005 I was in agreement, but thought the road would be long. Only 7 years later it seems like “Microsoft who?”.

  9. While we’re a family of three with three iPhones, five Macs of various sorts, four iPads and two aTv’s, I’m still not ready to see the iPad in the same category as a PC. While I’m happy to see at least one organization talking it seriously (though I wish they would stop calling the category “pad”, it just sounds silly), it’s not yet quite ready to stand in for a notebook in many cases. It’s still too specialized.

    I’ve got software that no one would have imagined could be used on an iPad when it first came out. But nevertheless, it’s going to need at least one more generation of hardware and OS advances to be able to replace a notebook more often than now. Will the next generation do it? Maybe. But the one after that should be enough. Right now, however, it hovers on the edge, but doesn’t quite make it over.

    1. Dude,

      When you name all the Apple gear you’ve bought before going on an anti-Apple rant, everyone here knows the rest of your post is bullshit 99 times out of 100.

      1. … can’t the same be said about HIS comment? We have an iPad. We have Dragon Dictate, Pages, GarageBand, iMovie, and several more “productivity” apps. Yet we spend more time using Safari than ALL the rest. We use Pages to take notes, not to write stories/plays/editorials. If we use the iLife apps to record, we edit the result on my wife’s iMac.
        I’m not saying, nor even suggesting, the iPad could not do these tasks, only that it is more comfortable to use the iMac. Heck, I don’t even do basic iPhoto editing on the iPad!

      2. Why do people keep saying this?

        Not everyone who claims to own Apple products is a lying troll lying in wait to pounce and mail Apple and its fans.

        The point is a good one. The iPad, for all it can do today, is not yet a laptop replacement for many users, myself included. There are quite a few things I can do on my MacBook Pro that I simply can’t do, or don’t want the hassle of trying to do, on my iPad. And it will take, in my estimation, at least 2 more years before that changes significantly.

        But please, enough with the assumption that everyone who lists their Apple gear must by default be a troll. It’s seldom that simple to pigeonhole people…

  10. Notice the generic “pads” vs. tablet as the generic description of the category. May be just this companies usage but I can’t see Apple as being happy about the attempt to genericize the iPad brand.

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