“You might think that estimating iPad sales for the fiscal quarter that ended on June 26 would be a pretty easy call for analysts, given that Apple (AAPL) let it be known five days before the end of the quarter that it sold its 3 millionth iPad on June 21,” Philip Elmer-DeWitt reports for Fortune.
“Yet the analysts we polled offered estimates that ranged from a high of 3.75 million to a low of 2.5 million,” Elmer-DeWitt reports. “In fact, the most recent published estimates of five analysts are still at 3 million or fewer.”
Elmer-DeWitt reports, “By the end of the quarter, iPads were selling at a rate of 45,000 a day. Extrapolating from the iPad’s current trajectory, Apple could sell from 25 million to 42 million units in fiscal 2011, its first full year of sales.”
Full article, with a list of analysts’ Q3 iPad estimates, here.
MacDailyNews Take: All of the analysts in Elmer-Dewitt’s report seem to have a fetish for laughably lowballing iPad unit sales estimates. They’re so far off that we don’t know why they even bother.
MacDailyNews Note: Apple is scheduled to report their fiscal Q310 results on Tuesday, July 20, 2010 at 5pm EDT/2pm PDT.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “iWill” for the heads up.]
As many as Apple can make…
That we’ll know when we’re told after Apple reports earnings.
iPad will sell at least 40, 000 units next year.
at least 40 million that is…
3.35M
Forget the iPad…can anyone say “iWatch” w/Facetime??? It’s coming!!!
Anyone who is old enough to remember Dick Tracy and the Jetsons should be excited about the Facetime enabled iWatch. It will truly be the device that changes the planet, and the iPad will take a back seat.
See here http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/10/07/09/pictures_of_apple_branded_3cm_by_3cm_touchscreen_surface.html
geo:
You got that right
Well, I bought one, so the number should be rising!
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I bought the less selfish youPad.
@geo – My thought exactly. A couple of gigs of music/photos, WiFi, FaceTime capable. The cell phone is sooo over.
Back to the thread. What if iPads were in 10% of US homes by the end of Year 1? Just waiting for refresh 1.
So, Apple announced that they sold 3 million five days before the end of the quarter and some analysts are predicting 2.5 million sold?
WTF?!?!?!
Great selling ipad…
custom bedroom furniture