Analysts’ estimates of Q3 2010 iPhone unit sales vary widely

Invisible Shield for Apple iPhone 4!“As it has for the past three quarters, the iPhone will almost certainly represent the single biggest portion of Apple’s considerable revenue stream when the company reports its fiscal third quarter earnings two weeks from Tuesday,” Philip Elmer-DeWitt reports for Fortune.

“How big?” Elmer-DeWitt asks. “That’s harder than usual to say. We know that Apple sold at least 1.7 million iPhone 4s in the last three days of the quarter, which ended June 26. What we don’t know is the extent to which customers held off buying the old iPhone after Gizmodo leaked specs of the new one on April 19 — three weeks after the quarter started.”

Elmer-DeWitt writes, “The estimates of the analysts we’ve polled are all over the lot, from a low of 7.44 million from J.P. Morgan’s Mark Moskowitz to a high of 9.5 million from Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster.”

Full article, with a list of many analysts’ iPhone units sales estimates, here.

4 Comments

  1. Apple will blow past all estimates on July 20th with massive numbers all across the board.

    The is no keeping great products down, the year is just ramping up to a huge grand finale.

    iPad and iPhone are not even thinking of slowing down and the expansion will continue far into next year too

  2. Most people do not follow the rumor mill like us and would not even know that Apple would release a new phone in June.

    I know someone who bought a 3GS weeks before the release. I told her she could get a free upgrade. I doubt that she actually tried.

  3. DogGone
    Most don’t hang on every rumor like us is true, however everyone knows about the iPhone 4 rumored reception issues. Everyone. Seems everytime I pull out my iPhone among friends (non iPhone owners) they want to see me make the signal disappear. Now that is got to be bad for iPhone sales in the US at least. Every night the TV anchors tell us about the problems from reception to yellow screens. In the SF bay area several stations have had clowns from CNET explain why iPhone 4s are no good. So those things must have an effect on the analysts. Seems they are having a huge effect on AAPL.

  4. I agree with the above comments. I assume at least 90 per cent of buyers have no knowledge of the stolen phone, and a very significant percentage don’t have a clue who Steve Jobs is. All of us are WAY to close to the action to be objective.

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