“The current economic crisis makes forecasting much more difficult this year than in the past, yet December still seems like a good time to ponder the year ahead. To that end, I’ve compiled a list of seven tech predictions—things I believe will happen over the next 12 months, plus one perhaps outrageous bonus prediction that could happen…if the stars align just right next year,” Tim Bajarin writes for PC Magazine.
Bajarin’s Tech Predictions for 2009:
1. Windows 7 will bring tech out of the doldrums
2. The tech industry will be the first to recover
3. The unemployed will start small businesses to survive—and will need PCs to make a living
4. Netbook sales will double in 2009
5. Smartphones will gain market share (vs. simple cell phones)
6. Google’s Android will expand its reach
7. Apple market share in PCs and smartphones will grow: Even in a downturn, Apple will grow its market share by at least 2 points in 2009. The ease-of-use message and the complete ecosystem are attracting more new customers to Apple stores, and the company will gain new Mac users at the expense of Windows vendors. If Apple delivers a low-cost laptop sometime in 2009, as some rumors have it, its market share could climb even more than 2 points in the coming year. Also, Apple will continue to innovate around the iPhone and even add some models at lower prices to attract new customers worldwide. Apple knows that it is gaining ground on competitors and will use the competition’s struggles in the coming year to its own advantage.
8. If the Apple iPhone makes any serious inroads into the enterprise, Microsoft will make a bid for RIM
Full article – recommended – here.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Jen” for the heads up.]