Apple larger than Microsoft by 2010?

10layers.com asks, “We are not talking about an Arthur C. Clark space odyssey, but could it be that Apple has a shot at outgrowing Microsoft within the next 5 years?”

“Both Microsoft and Apple have seen healthy revenue growth in the last 5 years. Microsoft’s revenues have grown approximately 60% from just under $30B in 2002 to over $44B in 2006. However, while Microsoft has grown linearly for this period, Apple has accelerated with revenues of just under $6B in 2002 growing to just under $21B in 2006. An impressive 250% revenue growth! In other words, Apple has been growing much faster than Microsoft,” 10layers writes.

10layers displays an extrapolation graph that shows “Apple could catch up with Microsoft as early as 2010 or 2011, given the current growth rates,” 10layers writes. “Of course, an extrapolation is just an attempt at predicting the future based on the past. Caveat emptor etc. It is clear however, that it is likely that Apple will give Microsoft a run for their money.”

Full article with graphs here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “LinuxGuy and Mac Prodigal Son” for the heads up.]

Related article:
Apple CEO Steve Jobs’ ultimate goal: ‘to take back the computer business from Microsoft’ – June 16, 2005

66 Comments

  1. Poppy,

    While I agree that Microsoft’s decline has begun, it’s going to take far more than a year. My prediction is MS losing about 30% of their market share over the next five years. The Mac will pick up most of the desktop/laptop business, and the server business will go to Linux and Solaris.

    -jcr

  2. This comparison is stupid. Microsoft is primarily a software company, whereas Apple derives the vast majority of its revenue from hardware (computers + consumer electronics).

    If and when the product mixes and revenue sources of the two companies start becoming comparable, then (and only then) would such comparisons be meaningful.

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