IDC estimates Apple sold 11.6 million Apple Watch units in 2015

The worldwide wearable device market took a big step forward in the fourth quarter of 2015 (4Q15), fueled by the growing popularity of fitness trackers and the Apple Watch. According to the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Wearable Device Tracker, vendors shipped a total of 27.4 million units during the holiday quarter, besting 4Q14 levels by 126.9%. For the full year, vendors shipped a total of 78.1 million units, up a strong 171.6% over 2014.

“Triple-digit growth highlights growing interest in the wearables market from both end-users and vendors,” noted Ramon Llamas, Research Manager for IDC’s Wearables team, in a statement. “It shows that wearables are not just for the technophiles and early adopters; wearables can exist and are welcome in the mass market. And since wearables have yet to fully penetrate the mass market, there is still plenty of room for growth in multiple vectors: new vendors, form factors, applications, and use cases. This will help propel the market further.

“What is warranted is continued innovation and development,” added Llamas. “The market can only get so far with ‘me too’ and ‘copycat’ wearable devices. End-users expect improvement from what they have now, and new applications to spur replacement and increased adoption. Historical data, like steps taken and calories burned, has been a very good start. Prescriptive data, like what else a user can do to live a healthier life, coupled with popular applications like social media, news, and navigation, will push wearables further, and attract more users.”

“Fashion and design will play an equally important role in increasing adoption,” said Jitesh Ubrani, Senior Research Analyst for IDC Mobile Device Trackers, in a statement. “Simply encrusting your watch with gold and jewels is not going to cut it. Rather forming partnerships with notable fashion icons, a route taken by Fitbit and Apple, is far more likely to succeed.

“It’s also worth noting that the wearables market isn’t just about smartwatches and fitness bands,” continued Ubrani. “Though the top 5 certainly dominate with wrist-worn devices, there’s been an immense amount of growth in other form factors like clothing, footwear, and eyewear – form factors that arguably require even more fashion sense than watches or bands.”

Vendor Highlights

Fitbit ended the year the same way it began the year: as the undisputed worldwide leader of wearable devices. The same drivers were in play: a well-segmented device portfolio, a fast-growing corporate wellness program, and extended market reach around the world. 2016 shows new hardware development with a watch (Fitbit Blaze) and a fashion-oriented wristband (Fitness Alta), while the company remains true to its fitness tracking DNA.

Apple grew its Watch distribution, enjoyed holiday promotions, and drove the company’s overall ‘Other Products’ revenue during 4Q15. However, volumes for the quarter grew only slightly from the previous quarter and total revenues have yet to counterbalance the slowing growth and declines from the company’s other product categories. Expectations are higher for the next-generation Watch that can leverage the company’s platforms (HealthKit, ResearchKit, WatchKit, and watchOS 2) and connectivity capabilities.

Xiaomi‘s focus on inexpensive fitness trackers resonated within China, with prices far below the competition (as low as $11 USD), making the Mi Band an inexpensive purchase. This allowed Xiaomi to have the largest year-over-year improvement of any vendor on our list. Xiaomi’s latest device, the Mi Band Pulse, continues that tradition ($13 USD) even as it adds constant heart rate monitoring. This puts the company on a more even playing field with other vendors, but not enough to stand out against the crowded market.

Samsung finished just ahead of Garmin to take fourth place during the quarter. Driving volumes was its Gear S2, which caught attention for its bezel-based user interface and its optional cellular connectivity. Beyond the Gear S2 were legacy devices including the year-old Gear S and the two-year old Gear Fit. The company recently begun experimenting with other form factors, including a smart belt, NFC-connected suit, and footwear.

Garmin‘s long history with wearable fitness translated well for the company to remain among the top five vendors worldwide. Garmin has a well-segmented device portfolio, with devices that specifically address runners, golfers, swimmers, citizen athletes, and followers of other activities. Recently the company announced Varia Vision, an augmented reality display that mounts to a pair of sunglasses for cyclists.

IDC: Top Five Wearables Vendors, Shipments, Market Share and Year-Over-Year Growth, Q4 2015 (Units in Millions)

IDC: Top Five Wearables Vendors, Shipments, Market Share and Year-Over-Year Growth, 2015 (Units in Millions)

Table Notes:
• Data is subject to change. (You can say that again. – MDN Ed.)
• Vendor shipments are branded device shipments and exclude OEM sales for all vendors.
• The “Vendor” represents the current parent company (or holding company) for all brands owned and operated as a subsidiary.
• The table represents a combination of both basic and smart wearable devices. (Stupidly. – MDN Ed)

Source: International Data Corporation

MacDailyNews Take: Apple does not release Apple Watch unit sales figures. This is merely a guess by IDC, the company that brought you such hits as:
• IDC lowballed Apple’s Mac sales by 9.7% last quarter – October 23, 2014
• IDC again undercounts Mac unit sales – October 9, 2014
• IDC estimates for iPhone sales in India seem to be grossly incorrect – July 17, 2013

And, our all-time fav:
• IDC: Windows Phone to surpass Apple’s iOS by 2016 – June 6, 2012

As we wrote last August:

Lumping in Apple Watch with Fitbit bands is like throwing bicycles and cars together into a “vehicles market.” Meaningless stupidity.

If they’re interested in providing meaningful reports regarding wearables, IDC obviously needs to break out “fitness wearables” and “smartwatches” into separate reports, with Apple Watch in each.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “TJ” for the heads up.]

8 Comments

  1. “Xiaomi‘s focus on inexpensive fitness trackers resonated within China, with prices far below the competition (as low as $11 USD), making the Mi Band an inexpensive purchase. This allowed Xiaomi to have the largest year-over-year improvement of any vendor on our list.”

    Doesn’t this language glaringly illustrate how deeply ingrained market share is in tech analysis & reporting. I don’t think I’d call it an “improvement” judged by any important business metric.

  2. Bottom line. Apple’s “Other Services” didn’t move much quarter over quarter. This is the golden nugget. With the holiday season, this shows that the Watch simply didn’t grow much in terms of sales.

  3. 11.6M in 2015 is pretty good especially considering that will be the low end estimate.
    With average selling price around $500 then Apple made over $5BB with the Apple Watch. Not bad for a first gen product.

  4. Again, if IDC is putting something out then they are lying for someone.

    Love this line, “combination of both basic and smart wearable devices”. WTF?! What constitutes a basic wearable device. Does my 1980 Casio calculator watch count?

    How do these sluts look at themselves in the mirror each morning.

Add Your Feedback

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.