“As we approach AW-Day, the naysayers are coming out to put their hand in front of the bottle of champagne that will be used to christen the S.S. Apple Watch,” John Biggs writes for TechCrunch.
“So here I go with my prediction: the Apple Watch won’t be a flop, it will be a success,” Biggs writes. “It will change multiple industries at once and force entrenched players to rethink every one of their strategies.”
“The watch will grow a fascinating ecosystem of accessories and new industries dedicated to shrinking commerce, mapping, interaction, and dating down to a watch’s smaller real estate will be born,” Biggs writes. “Until VR becomes seamless, the watch is the next notification and interaction frontier and if anyone is going to pierce that envelope it’s Apple. And they will sell millions.”
Much more in the full article – recommended – here.
MacDailyNews Take: BINGO!
Related articles:
Apple Watch, the world’s first real smart watch, will be a massive hit – September 9, 2014
Pundit: ‘The Apple Watch is going to flop’ – March 2, 2015
Charles Sizemore: The Apple Watch will flop – February 23, 2015
CNN’s David Goldman: ‘The Apple Watch will flop’ – February 4, 2015
Investment adviser: Apple’s iWatch will flop – June 24, 2014
Doesn’t he mean “…in the first day” ?? or how about “…in the first hour” ???
Apple watch will sell over a million units in the first weekend.
If they made that many. They’ll probaly only manufacture about 20% below projected demand to ensure long lines and hype.should be 20-30 million easily by the end of the year…if they can make that many.
Although, this thing could still flop. Ya’ never know.
His points are good, but based on his reasoning for why Apple Watch will succeed, his sales expectation should be MUCH higher. If Apple takes pre-orders, Apple will “sell” well over one million units before sales actually begin.
The hard thing about preorders , i believe, is that most would want to actually see the physical item and tryout different combinations before deciding on what to buy ! Specially thst it is 1st generation product !
But hey few more days and we will know !
People buy things like clothes and shoes online… There will be more than enough customers who already know more than they need to know, to make the “buy” decision. Those customers also know that if they wait until they can try it at an Apple Store (without waiting in line for hours), they will be on a waiting list and waiting for weeks.
I know i want to have one and one for my wife too !
No doubt !
Straps i could order on line without seeing them physically.
But i have to see and feel the finishes.. Feel the weight..of thw watch itself before i can makeup my mind!
Or if your senario of long wait time come to be true… I may just have to trust my choice from pictures ! Grrrrrrr
Biggs is saying Apple will sell only a fraction of 1% of the installed base of iOS devices?
He’s hedging his bet. I’ll predict they sell/take orders for at least 4 million.
1st weekend ..maybe even 1st day…
Even if Apple sells a million AppleWatches the first weekend it could be considered a flop because Apple will have to prove those numbers are sustainable over a longer period. Early high numbers won’t be enough to satisfy Wall Street if they want to see AppleWatch fail. Even if AppleWatch outsells every smartwatch ever made it still won’t be enough to claim success because expectations have already gone far beyond those numbers.
Not everyone at wall street wants to see apple fail.
Numbers are all over the place.. Expectations are mixed.
I dont feel overwhelming high expectations ..
Is anyone else concerned about the refresh cycle? I don’t want to spend $400/year on upgrading watches. That’s asinine. (Yes, I know I don’t have to…)
I know an “upgrading innards” concept has been postulated. I like that idea.
Is there enough hypothetical iteration to release a new watch every single year? I like the TV cycle…
If Samscum releases watches every quarter (seemingly), will Apple march to a beat of their own drum and release every other year?
I think preorders are important because it will give Apple some kind of idea of what the demand is…currently, no one, including Apple, seems to have any clue just how many people will want one. The numbers are all over the place. Apple needs to make less than demand as always to create extra hype. I just hope they begin preorders March 9th. I’m a version 2 buyer, but very curious to see how many people fork over for version 1. This watch can fit a need in some way for all the masses in every age group. I will probably buy one for my elderly Mom.i
Don’t buy one for your elderly mom, she probably won’t be able to figure out how to use it. 😉
I’m counting on Pre-Order to get mine delivered on day one: Space Gray 42mm Sport.
When the add a camera for Apple Watch FaceTime, sales will skyrocket even more radically than this radical launch. 😜😱😍