Analyst: 7-inch iPad launching in Q1 2011, expects sales of 13m iPads in 2010, 45m next year

“In an Oct. 6 research note, Ticonderoga Securities analyst Brian White reports that Apple is developing a smaller version of its uber-popular iPad and suggests that sales numbers of the original iPad could reach 45 million in 2011,” Elizabeth Woyke reports for Forbes.

“White, who is New York-based but currently in China and Taiwan conducting research, did not identify his Asia-based contact, but noted that the person’s employer supplies components used in the iPad,” Woyke reports. “The contact, says White, shipped more than 6 million parts to Apple during the third quarter of the year and expects to ship 7 million more in the fourth quarter.”

“Since Apple uses one unit of this particular component in each iPad, that adds up to shipments of 13 million iPads in the second half of 2010,” Woyke reports. “For 2011, the contact believes Apple will sell as many as 45 million iPads, adds White.”

Woyke reports, “White’s report contained a few other surprises, including some details about the next iteration of the iPad. His source believes the gadget will debut in the first quarter of 2011… White’s contact says the second-generation iPad will be smaller, with a screen that measures about seven inches, compared to the first iPad’s 9.7-inch screen. The new iPad will also include the high-resolution “Retina” display that the latest version of the iPhone (4) boasts, a micro or mini USB port, a camera and greater capacity of up to 128 gigabytes.”

Full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: If a 7-inch iPad is coming, we would expect it to be an addition to what would then become the iPad family, not a replacement for the 9.7-inch model which, of course, would be in line for upgrades. Think FaceTime capability, meaning at least one camera.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Fred Mertz” for the heads up.]

50 Comments

  1. The current iPad screen size is, if anything, too small. If it were possible, a 17″ screen and pad weighing under 2 pounds would sell like hotcakes, since viewing movies on a screen larger than the 15″ MacBookPro would represent a vast market in addition to the market for the current iPad. I say this because I own both the current top end iPad and the 15″ MacBookPro but would dump the iPad for a larger one in a flash. On that note, no Flash is one disadvantage that needs to be overcome.

  2. The current iPad screen size is, if anything, too small. If it were possible, a 17″ screen and pad weighing under 2 pounds would sell like hotcakes, since viewing movies on a screen larger than the 15″ MacBookPro would represent a vast market in addition to the market for the current iPad. I say this because I own both the current top end iPad and the 15″ MacBookPro but would dump the iPad for a larger one in a flash. On that note, no Flash is one disadvantage that needs to be overcome.

  3. I love my iPad. I think it’s the perfect size. I think a seven inch screen would be a nice addition but it is definitely not going to replace the current screen size. I think that people who use the iPad to create content appreciate the larger size. Especially when it comes on to using the key board and graphics applications.

  4. I love my iPad. I think it’s the perfect size. I think a seven inch screen would be a nice addition but it is definitely not going to replace the current screen size. I think that people who use the iPad to create content appreciate the larger size. Especially when it comes on to using the key board and graphics applications.

  5. I love my iPad and use it every day. I think it could be a little bigger. Make the width and height match a regular piece of paper. 8 1/2″ x 11″. That way it fits nicely with a notepad or any other paper.

  6. I love my iPad and use it every day. I think it could be a little bigger. Make the width and height match a regular piece of paper. 8 1/2″ x 11″. That way it fits nicely with a notepad or any other paper.

  7. The current 9.7-inch iPad has a 1024×768 resolution screen at 132 PPI (pixels per inch). That’s actually a bit low for PPI. iPhone (before iPhone 4) has a screen resolution of 480×320 at 163 PPI. The iPhone 4 doubles the resolution and PPI with Retina Display, but that only makes things sharper looking; the GUI elements are still sized for the original iPhone screen.

    If iPad had a 7.8-inch screen and kept its current 1024×768 resolution, you get a PPI number that equals the PPI number of the original iPhone. So a 7 to 8 -inch screen on an iPad may be the more “natural” size for the iOS GUI. The current iPad screen size may have been a “first gen” compromise to allow the case to be large enough to hold the parts (including a 10-hour battery), keep the retail price under $500 at the low end, and allow sufficient cooling.

    I actually think iPad would be “more refined” if it was sightly smaller and lighter, IF you can keep the screen resolution at 1024×768 and maintain the other specs, such as battery life and overall performance. The smaller screen would have the benefit of making things look sharper while keeping the same pixel count.

    So here’s my speculation…

    For 2011, iPad with current screen plus a “special edition” model that has a 7 to 8 -inch screen at the same 1024×768 resolution.

    For 2012, the current iPad screen goes away. That iPad with 7 to 8 -inch screen (1024×768) takes over as the standard iPad, and a new “special edition” model with a 12 -inch screen is released. That model would use higher screen resolution; 1600×1200 at 12.2 inches is 164 PPI (about the same as original iPhone).

  8. The current 9.7-inch iPad has a 1024×768 resolution screen at 132 PPI (pixels per inch). That’s actually a bit low for PPI. iPhone (before iPhone 4) has a screen resolution of 480×320 at 163 PPI. The iPhone 4 doubles the resolution and PPI with Retina Display, but that only makes things sharper looking; the GUI elements are still sized for the original iPhone screen.

    If iPad had a 7.8-inch screen and kept its current 1024×768 resolution, you get a PPI number that equals the PPI number of the original iPhone. So a 7 to 8 -inch screen on an iPad may be the more “natural” size for the iOS GUI. The current iPad screen size may have been a “first gen” compromise to allow the case to be large enough to hold the parts (including a 10-hour battery), keep the retail price under $500 at the low end, and allow sufficient cooling.

    I actually think iPad would be “more refined” if it was sightly smaller and lighter, IF you can keep the screen resolution at 1024×768 and maintain the other specs, such as battery life and overall performance. The smaller screen would have the benefit of making things look sharper while keeping the same pixel count.

    So here’s my speculation…

    For 2011, iPad with current screen plus a “special edition” model that has a 7 to 8 -inch screen at the same 1024×768 resolution.

    For 2012, the current iPad screen goes away. That iPad with 7 to 8 -inch screen (1024×768) takes over as the standard iPad, and a new “special edition” model with a 12 -inch screen is released. That model would use higher screen resolution; 1600×1200 at 12.2 inches is 164 PPI (about the same as original iPhone).

  9. Apple patent, year 2020… Apple releases a new patent that allows for a touchscreen device that allows elastic resizing… this will put all the crybabies to rest so they can have the iPad that fits their desires perfectly!! You want, 7″, you got it… how about 11.25″… done…

  10. Apple patent, year 2020… Apple releases a new patent that allows for a touchscreen device that allows elastic resizing… this will put all the crybabies to rest so they can have the iPad that fits their desires perfectly!! You want, 7″, you got it… how about 11.25″… done…

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