Why Apple’s iPad will flop

“I don’t get it. It costs $500 for the basic model, when you could get a laptop with a lot more functionality for about the same price. The iPad hype machine has been in full effect this week, and I still think it’s just that—hype,” Alex Cook blogs for Seeking Alpha.

“Nobody has ever made a commercially successful tablet computer,” Cook writes. “So, why then is there so much hype? It’s not just a rhetorical question. For one, even if you are not a Mac user, everyone loves Steve Jobs… That said, Steve Jobs has been wrong before. One of his earlier projects before he was ousted as the Apple CEO (and obviously before he was re-hired later) was the Apple Lisa. It was a computer built in 1983 with a graphical user interface and features now associated with a modern computer—significantly ahead of its time in 1983. Unfortunately, it was horribly expensive and ended up as a commercial flop.”

“The iPad could be even worse. At least the Lisa was ahead of its time. The iPad isn’t ahead of anything, but it’s certainly expensive,” Cook writes. “Tablet computers didn’t flop when HP was making them because HP lacked vision or creativity; they flopped because tablets were a bad idea.”

Cook writes, “I don’t buy the iPad hype. Analyst expectations for iPad revenue are way overblown. If I turn out to be wrong, I’ll gladly eat my words, but I’m pretty sure that I’m not wrong.”

Full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: iCal’ed with relish.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Robert S.” for the heads up.]

158 Comments

  1. Dude has obviously never tried to use a laptop on a crowded commuter train. Besides, it’s not a laptop but a totally new device; if the guy was around when the first laptops came out, he’d be the one saying, “Who needs to spend so much on a portable computer when there’s a perfectly good desktop at home?”

  2. I don’t see the point in an iPad. At home I have a laptop, that I can also carry around, in a case, with me if I need to take it out of the house. It’s not like I can simply put it in my pocket like an iPhone/iPod touch.

    It’d be interesting to see how the iPad does, but it wont be as successful as the iPhone. Maybe this will be comes Apples ‘2nd’ hobby?

  3. A flop? Over 150 people waiting for one at my local apple store upstate CT. I love mine and now on my deck using it. It’s better than all the hype and after showing it off in the am two people went and got theirs. Most of my iPhone apps look great 2x and I find Im using a few game that I paid for and enjoy more. But MDN is not one of them! When is the iPad ver going to be ready. I can’t wait to use my iPad for work. It fits great in my briefcase and no more draging a laptop case with me. I had a HP Mini 10 for a few weeks and did not like it. Went back to the store during the return date. Funny, while in line saw someone using a Toshiba netbook and asked what he was going to do with it after getting an iPad. Said it too was going back. Lol.

  4. Another brain stem!!!!

    Maybe the people that purchase the iPhone, iPod, iPad, and Mac computers should become the analysis for a change. Since they already know more about computers than the so called analysis.

    Sad, when the general “uninformed” computer buy is so much better informed and visionary than this tech writers!

    Thanks Steve Jobs for alway throwing a wrench in Bill Gates, Steve Ballmer, and the tech industry mundane and tasteless vision of the future.

  5. It will sell well for 3 months… When the new iPhone and iPod Touch come out… No one will be interested in the iPad… ” width=”19″ height=”19″ alt=”smile” style=”border:0;” />

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