Jim Cramer: ‘Apple has a winning formula’ (also smashes Microsoft Zune with bat) [UPDATED]

Apple Computer was discussed in the in-depth session of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money TV program on Thursday, January 4th:

Cramer picked Apple Computer as his No. 2 growth stock of 2007.

Although Apple’s up more than 175% the last two years and more than 50% since July, Cramer believes Apple Computer will move higher because “picking stocks is not like flipping a coin.” There’s no balancing out that occurs, he said. Instead, “winners keep winning and “losers keep losing,” Cramer said.

Cramer considers Apple a winner that has changed the way people listen to music. Not only is it a brand people trust and love, but it is cool, Cramer continued. Moreover, Microsoft’s Zune MP3 player will not be able to push it past Apple, he said.

And now that Apple has set up its operating platform, it should continue to grow with its new iTV and Apple phone products, Cramer said. Because none of the analysts have worked the phone angle into their estimates, Cramer said he expects a “tidal wave” of raised estimates to hit the market soon.

There are always bears and short-sellers, but in Apple’s case “they are wrong and should get buried,” Cramer said.

The bears have been wrong for the last three years by believing Apple’s iPod growth would wear out, and now the company has more growth-drivers than just its iPod, Cramer said. In addition, he believes the options-backdating issue is insignificant and should not affect the stock.

“It has a winning formula, and nothing is going against it.”

Full article “Cramer’s ‘Mad Money’ Recap: Top Three Growth Plays for ’07” via TheStreet.com here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Eaxit” for the heads up.]
The video:

FYI: Cramer’s daily “Lightning Round” video podcasts are available via Apple’s iTunes Store here.

[UPDATE: Jan. 6, 2006, 1:46pm EST: Added YouTube video. Thanks, “wyred guy.”]

Related articles:
JMP Securities reiterates ‘strong buy’ on Apple Computer, raises target price from $84 to $94 – January 04, 2007
Analyst: Reasonable consensus estimates leave Apple ‘room to surprise on the upside’ – January 03, 2007
Soleil reiterates ‘Buy’ on Apple Computer, hikes price target from $90 to $100 – January 03, 2007
S&P upgrades Apple to ‘Strong Buy’ with target price remaining at $110 – January 02, 2007
Morgan Stanley ups Apple Computer price target to $110 – December 13, 2006
Caris & Co. initiates Apple Computer coverage with target price of $100 – December 07, 2006
Prudential raises Apple Computer target price to $87 – December 07, 2006
Am Tech/JSA Research reiterates ‘Buy’ on Apple Computer, raises price target to $99 – December 04, 2006
Needham ups Apple target to $115, forecasts Macs capturing 8.3% worldwide market share by 2016 – November 30, 2006
Jim Cramer: Apple Computer is the ‘buy of the century’ – November 29, 2006
Bear Stearns raises Apple price target to $100 – November 29, 2006
S&P reiterates ‘Buy’ on Apple Computer, raises price target to $110 – November 29, 2006
Apple shares rise to record as Mac, iPod sales surge – November 28, 2006
UBS ups Apple Computer target price to $108 – November 28, 2006
ThinkEquity reiterates ‘buy’ rating, raises Apple price target to $110 – November 27, 2006
Analyst sees strong sales of Apple iPods over three-day kick-off to holiday shopping season – November 26, 2006
Apple Computer shares hit new all-time high for fourth straight day – November 24, 2006
Banc of America raises Apple Computer price target, reiterates ‘buy’ rating – November 24, 2006
Apple shares continue upward surge; hit new all-time highs in morning trading – November 24, 2006
Apple Computer shares crack $90, hit new all-time high for third straight day – November 22, 2006
Apple shares hit another new all-time high – November 21, 2006
Expert: ‘Apple will be a triple-digit stock in a matter of months’ – November 21, 2006
Apple shares hit new all-time high – November 20, 2006

51 Comments

  1. WOW carn`t believe people still have nothing to do with there lives, smash a zune player… That`s great news. NOT.. Who cares… lets talk about something like all the new apple products that`s coming out soon. MDN that wasn`t news….

  2. R- Life is short, so why would we want to go after zune and all that rubbish. Lets talk about something worth wild… Thats all bud… this is MDN but l fail to see what smashing a zune has got to do with apple? hehehe sorry bud just the way l see it.
    Thanks bud
    Paul

  3. Paul—Hey bud…. here’s the answer to all that ails you, bud. If you see a headline with the word “Zune” in it, bud, then don’t click on it and read the story, bud. It’s that easy, bud, and you will get less worked up about it, bud. If you click on a link that has the word “zune” in it, bud, and then get pissed off because you’re reading a Zune story, bud, then you come across as a tard, bud.

  4. I got a chance to play with a Zune yesterday. The video picture quality was what I was most interested in seeing.

    Personally I did not think the picture quality was nearly as good as my 60GB iPod with video.

    The screen on the Zune is slightly bigger but the image seemed more blurry or at least less sharp. Having to turn the thing sideways seemed bogus and uncomfortable.

    The stupid non-wheel is a lousy way to navigate, if you’re scrolling through a long list the scroll speed starts slow and then goes real fast so you can’t see what just flew by.

  5. Hemorrhoid rage- who said l was getting pissed off? All l`m say who cares about zune… how long can people talk about the crappy zune player…. With your end comment, who looks like a tard not me.. at least l dont get personal.. you do.
    Thanks BUD
    LOL

  6. What the hell is Bud? l dont drink hehehehe… Q- l heard the same thing.. video is crap. But over all the player isn`t that bad for there first try…. carn`t wait to see apples new one. if they did one for the keynote.

  7. Sure would be funny if macheads started posting videos on youtube= mockup of Cramer smashing zunes. Or maybe Zune being smashed with various items. Or PCs!

    Maybe dropping various items off of a 10 story bldg. (ala Letterman) onto a Zune.

    Start a fad, like the mentos thing.

  8. @Paul – life is so short, yet you have time to post 5 responses in the thread you think is superfluous.
    You know, I think I’ll go post all day on the “Mike Dell for Man of the Year” thread, what a nice way to spend my precious, precious time!

  9. @Zung Tang –
    I know what you’re thinking… Cramer has somehow gotten wind of our little wager, and is clearly taunting you. I’m sorry you had to witness that, but I can’t say I’m surprised. I think in the coming days we’ll se many highly regarded figures on Wall Street smashing Zunes in celebration of Microsofts coming defeat.
    Donald Trump will smash a Zune with his comb-over. Richard Branson will smash one with a guitar. Halliburton will blow one up with an IED. Warren Buffet will smash one but it will be covered under his policy.

    Keep that hammer ready, honey.
    Welcome to the blunt trauma.

    -c

    MW: ‘trial’ (by fire)

  10. I saw Cramer’s show last night – it was awesome! He talked for 10 full minutes about why Apple is his #2 growth stock. He went on and on about why Apple is such a good company, about how bad Windoze sucks, how Apple is starting to take real market share in the PC world, and about rumored future products. Then, he smashed a Zune with a bat and said, “who in the world would want one of these over an iPod? No one!”

    It was freakin’ hilarious!

  11. I saw Crammer too. One of the reasons he liked Apple as a stock “an Ipod lasts 2 years so everyone has to run out and buy another one” Also the Zune didn’t look that bad after FOUR big hits with the bat. I wonder what an Ipod would look like after one hit with the bat.

  12. I’m dissapointed with Zune Tang, I expected him to leave a chapters’ worth of comments, ie:

    That’s video goes to show how tough a Zune is. Cramer had to hit the Quality Microsoft product from MicroSoft a number of times to break it.
    You just look at an iPod and it breaks.

    Wlecome to the Social.

    Anywhoo, Cramer reminds me of this video:

    Eddie

  13. The horror. Cramer doesn’t get it. This guy lies more than a rug. I think what we are witnessing here is a delusional man slipping deeper into madness. The truth will set you free, Cramer. Microsoft’s wildly innovative Zune and fantastic, customer-friendly points system will lead to phenomenal market gains; soon overtaking Apple with ease.

    In the meantime I am looking forward to posting ChrissyOne’s video which will include the destruction of an iPod. It will be a mercy killing. I’m surprised we haven’t seen more of this type of thing given the poor design and awful interface on an iPod. Keep your hammer ready, snookums.

    BTW, I can’t wait to stream Michael Dell’s appearance live at CES Tuesday at 9:00am PT. I highly recommend you Apple lemmings tune in. What else do you have to do? If Cramer has any sense, he’ll be gushing about Dell’s awesome announcements and prognostications. Tune in Tuesday night when Cramer smashes an iMac and talks up one of those cool Alienware PC’s. Those are cool.

    Your potential. Our passion.

  14. @Zune Tang: Speaking of delusional people who don’t get it. Look around you. Do you see people with Zunes or a lot of white earbuds?

    How much are they paying to astroturf the Zune on mac<b>dailynews? You doi realize the Zunes do <b>not work on macs right?
    ” width=”19″ height=”19″ alt=”LOL” style=”border:0;” />

  15. Amazon Top 100 Best Sellers (Electronics)

    As of 8 PM, Saturday, 1/6/02007, the Zune 30 GB Black player occupies the #88 spot in the Amazon Top 100 Best Sellers (Electronics) list.

    Just to put things in perspective:

    An Apple iTunes $25 Music Card ranks 22 spots higher at #56.

    iPods occupied 4 of the Top 10 spots:

    1. Apple 30 GB iPod video Black (5.5 Generation)
    4. Apple 1 GB iPod Shuffle Metal (2nd Generation)
    7. Apple 2 GB iPod Nano Silver (2nd Generation)
    9. Apple 80 GB iPod video Black (5.5 Generation)

    The remaining Top 10 products includes a camera, an SD memory card, a 100-pack spindle of DVD-R disks, a USB flash drive, ink cartridges and an iPod accessory (Belkin Sports Sleeve).

    There are no other MP3 players in the top 10 — the closest were two SanDisk Sansa products at #11 and #12.

    At least among online buyers, it appears that the Zune message rings loud and clear: Zune = poo.

    The Social: Welcome to it.

    MW similar. Only if you don’t try one.

  16. So tell us ZuneTang, the Micro$oft fan, how many Zune’s do you own?

    Many people I know not only have iPods but have MORE than one. Our household has 3. A video, a nano and a mini. Just as Cramer implied.

    I guess for most Zune families, one brick is enough.

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