Pirillo: Microsoft’s Windows Vista will double Apple’s market share

“The industry hasn’t seen a new desktop OS come from Redmond since Windows XP,” Chris Pirillo writes for Computer Power User. “We’ve all been waiting with bated breath for Vista to revolutionize the way we . . . what the hell is this?! RC1 feels and looks more like an early beta than it does a final product, and they want me to fork over how much for it?”

“Off the shelf, Windows Vista Ultimate will cost the user $399 per copy, with subsequent licenses weighing in at $359 each. Upgrade prices for Ultimate are slightly less exorbitant ($259 for the initial upgrade and $233 for additional copies). If you’re planning on upgrading your home network of five machines, you’re going to spend $1,191 for five Ultimate upgrades. Conservatively, if you’re upgrading the same network to Home Basic, you’re going to spend $460,” Pirillo writes.

“I’m a nanometer away from switching my family over to OS X when Apple releases Leopard in Q1 of 2007. It looks clean and elegant. It comes with all the software and services the average user could ever want. It runs on the same hardware. A system will be able to dual-boot between OS X and Windows, and pricing is no longer astronomical. But most importantly? With its UI inconsistencies, Vista feels completely schizophrenic, and that’s enough of a reason for anybody to leave Windows in the dust,” Pirillo writes.

“Yesterday’s arguments don’t really hold water in today’s marketplace, and as a serious technologist, you need to recognize that. Forget the whole ‘Windows has more software’ debate because that’s absolute bunk. More and more, we’re moving our lives online, spending our day in an email client and/or a Web browser,” Pirillo writes.

MacDailyNews Note: “Windows has more software” is not just “absolute bunk” because we’re spending so much time in a Web browser. “Windows has more software” is “absolute bunk” because the statement is patently false. Only Apple Mac can run Mac OS X and Windows and Linux. No other PC can do such a thing. Apple Macs can run more software than any other personal computer in the world. Period.

Pirillo continues, “Remember how you felt when you saw ‘The Phantom Menace’ for the first time? I was overwhelmingly disappointed. That’s exactly how Windows Vista RC1 makes me feel, and that’s not very likely to change between now and when the OS goes gold… Between Apple’s Boot Camp and Parallels (http://www.parallels.com), you’re going to have to make a strong argument to keep people from finally making the switch.”

Full article, “Vista Will Double Apple’s Market Share,” here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “mike n.” and “Roberto” for the heads up.]

MacDailyNews Take: We have nothing to add except that the prediction of Apple’s Mac market share doubling is too conservative.

Related MacDailyNews articles:
What if Microsoft held a Windows Vista party and nobody came? – October 13, 2006
CNET: Microsoft’s Windows Vista still not ready for prime time – October 12, 2006
Thurrott: ‘You don’t need Windows Vista’ – October 11, 2006
Microsoft’s Windows Vista spyware may prompt users to upgrade to Apple Mac – October 09, 2006
Windows Vista gaming will be 10-15 percent slower than XP – October 09, 2006
Analyst: Microsoft’s new activation scheme will give users another reason not to upgrade to Vista – October 05, 2006
IT Managers: Do you need Windows Vista or should you ‘Get a Mac?” – September 11, 2006
Infoworld: Microsoft’s WIndows Vista not so revolutionary after all – September 11, 2006
Pirillo: Windows Vista RC1 disappointing, schizophrenic, disordered, inconsistent, and sad – September 07, 2006
Key Microsoft exec exits as clock ticks down on oft-delayed, much pared-down Windows Vista release – September 06, 2006
$399 for Windows Vista Ultimate?! (Hint: Get a Mac) – August 29, 2006
Development approaches of Mac OS X Leopard vs. Windows Vista yield very different results – August 15, 2006
Analyst: Apple’s new Mac OS X Leopard sets new bar, leaves Microsoft’s Vista in the dust – August 08, 2006
Symantec researcher: At this time, there are no file-infecting viruses that can infect Mac OS X – July 13, 2006
Sophos: Apple Mac OS X’s security record unscathed; Windows Vista malware just a matter of time – July 07, 2006
Computerworld: Microsoft Windows Vista a distant second-best to Apple Mac OS X – June 02, 2006

Computerworld: Apple’s Mac OS X Leopard’s ‘Time Machine’ is truly remarkable – October 05, 2006
InfoWorld’s Yager: Apple will take computing to the next level with Mac OS X 10.5 Leopard – September 06, 2006
Apple’s Mac OS X Leopard is 64-bit done right, unlike Microsoft’s Windows Vista kludge – August 14, 2006
Mac OS X Leopard sneak peek highlights – August 09, 2006
Analyst: Apple’s new Mac OS X Leopard sets new bar, leaves Microsoft’s Vista in the dust – August 08, 2006
Inside Apple Mac OS X Leopard’s ‘Spaces’ – August 07, 2006
Take a ride in Apple Mac OS X Leopard’s ‘Time Machine’ – August 07, 2006
Apple previews Mac OS X Leopard featuring Time Machine, Spaces, enhanced Mail & iChat, and more – August 07, 2006
Apple previews Mac OS X Server Leopard; to ship in spring 2007 – August 07, 2006


  1. Wow… But did this PC user consider how much it’s gonna cost him in hardware to switch? Hey, I’m the biggest Mac fanout there, but it’s a huge nut for this guy to make such a switch. This is the reason why marketshare hasn’t trippled already. We are on our way and Leopard will be a triumphant landmark in software design.

    I just hope that keeping in so secret isn’t going to mean that it’s buggier becuase less people have had the chance to use/feedback on how it runs.

    I know I have my shares and can’t wait to see them go long!!!

    Hopefully Gates and MicroSlut wont put a hit out on Steve Jobs for at least a few more years!

  2. Why doesn’t anyone know the difference between schizophrenia and multiple personality disorder a.k.a. dissociative identity disorder?

    Schizophrenia: characterized as demonstrating disorganized thinking, and as experiencing delusions or auditory hallucinations.

    Dissociative Identity Disorder: the existence in an individual of two or more distinct personalities or ego-states, each with its own pattern of perceiving and interacting with the environment.

    The author is trying to say that the UI is inconsistent by comparing it to someone who has two or more personalities. That would be a person with dissociative identity disorder. Not someone with schizophrenia.

  3. Also a little late in coming seeing as how RC2 is already out.

    C|Net actually gave Vista RC2 a bad review yesterday via video. Apple is still leagues ahead of Microsoft in OS innovation no matter how much Active/DirectX hell Microsoft can throw at it.

  4. the reality is alot of people will love Vista or just stick with XP
    I cant see this getting alot more sales for Apple. I just doesnt work like this in the real world
    Also how can we rave about Leopard when we have not seen it yet just the same as we have nor seen the final of Vista though that seems more accessible with RC2
    I am a Mac user that has previously been a Windows user but switched a year or 2 ago.
    I dont see my friends switching and I am a great sales guy and have pushed to show them and I think 1 has and thats it over 12 months.

  5. “Windows has more software” is “absolute bunk” because the statement is patently false.

    No, it’s not false. Windows does have more software than OS X. If you want to run Windows-only software, you need Windows. Who cares if you’re installing it on a Mac or a Dell. MS makes money either way.

  6. the whole poitn was you have a choice of more software with Mac hardware if you want you can run whatever os and that is a huge sales point.. alot of people really love that idea.. people like options so I agree that in that sense Mac hardware has more software available.
    The other comment about software have to say is that in the mainstream it is not an issue for 95% of users to run just OSX software I too thought there was very little when I switched but after a month of 2 I found that there is a ton of stuff and the bets part is the quality seems to be alot better than a large proportion of the Windows software. It is natural for this to happen on the Windows side of life cause everyone and their dog jumps on the “hey i can write software so I will release a windows release) Maybe they can write software but it wouldnt last 10 mintues on the Mac platform alot of the time because Mac users are use to a higher caliber of product and in a smaller market it has to be excellent to get the sales.. Windows well you have so many users that even rubbish will get a reasonibly high level of sales compared to the OSX platform.

  7. “”Windows has more software” is “absolute bunk” because the statement is patently false. Only Apple Mac can run Mac OS X and Windows and Linux.”

    MDN, that argument would make sense if he had said PCs have more software than Macs, but that isn’t what he said. Windows software doesn’t become OS X software just because it’s run on a Mac.

    The best way to put it is that running Windows allows you to ignore five times as much software as running Mac OS X.

  8. Brian, are you some 1st year psych student, trying to show how much you know about what the majority of pople don’t care about? Give it a rest, we knew what he meant. Go back to you study group to find someone who cares.

    [was that too rough?]

  9. I’m thinking that some of these XP folks need to be deprogrammed long before being allowed to use any kind
    OS X, let alone “Leopard”.

    If these guys were smart they would switch now, learn “Tiger” or even “Panther” and be ahead of the game by the time “Leopard” is on the street and proven.

    By then most of there bad habits should have been cleaned up.

  10. OS X has only a fraction of the games available for Windows. If I wanted to run Half Life 2 (for example) on my Mac Pro, I still need to install Vista or XP.

    Now, I’m not saying that the whole argument of “windows has more software” isn’t bunk, but I can say, with confidence, that its quite true for gaming.

    That said, I have a Mac Book Pro and a Mac Pro.

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