Tim Bajarin: Apple likely to see serious iPhone growth through 2016

“Right after Apple announced record-breaking, first quarter iPhone sales, Wall Street analysts were wringing their hands over the future growth of Apple’s iPhone,” Tim Bajarin writes for PC Magazine. “They reasoned that Apple could not continue to break sales records, and some even suggested that iPhone sales had peaked.”

“I am as pragmatic as the next guy when it comes to forecasting iPhone growth records, but our research shows that Apple will see serious iPhone growth with the iPhone 6 models through 2015 and very likely into next year, too,” Bajarin writes. “After the first of the year and well before Apple’s calendar Q4 earnings report, we predicted Apple sold 72.5 million iPhones in that quarter, even though the highest Wall Street estimate was around 69 million. Apple sold 74.5 million. Our prediction for the first quarter was 61 million even though the highest Wall Street estimate was 58.5 million, and Apple sold 61.2 million last quarter.”

“My own personal mantra is to never underestimate Apple’s ability to surprise us,” Bajarin writes. “But there are three reasons I am optimistic about iPhone growth into 2018.”

Read more in the full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: Yes, the iPhone userbase is nowhere near saturated with some 80% still to upgrade to iPhone 6/Plus, with iPhone 6s/Plus (7/Plus?) looming right around the corner. Millions of new-to-iPhone users being added each quarter, particularly in China. In addition, Apple Watch requires an iPhone, not a pretend iPhone.

MacDailyNews Note: Today is Memorial Day in the U.S. and we will be spending the day with friends and family. We will resume normal posting tomorrow morning as usual. As always, thank you for visiting MacDailyNews.com!


    1. Yes to rest our bodies and horses
      only resume the fight
      to dispatch the horse thief, Samsung by days end .
      My Indian tracker says they are dragging their heals and
      may be low on water. By Tuesdays nightfall justice will administered.
      Yup………Frontier justice from the nearest tree my friends!
      The running dogs fate is sealed.

  1. There’s never much point in apologizing to the dead because they’re, … er, dead. It might make some sense to apologize to the living family members, though. The way I see it, they never should have sent those soldiers into battle with insufficient supplies and insufficient armored support.

    As for iPhone growth, Apple will never get Wall Street’s benefit of the doubt no matter what anyone says. One analyst out of ten believes Apple will be around in 2018 relying on iPhone sales or anything else for that matter. What I’ve always found amazing about Apple as the company becomes wealthier, the cries for Apple’s death grow louder and stronger. Compare it to Netflix. As Netflix picks up subscribers, Wall Street concludes its growth is unlimited. With Apple, even as it grows market share, Wall Street says its growth will most definitely slow. It’s all a matter of perception. They believe Apple will fail because they hope the company will fail.

    My opinion is as with most things. The future isn’t written in stone and I don’t see why people don’t realize that. Just one new discovery along the way can drastically change the future. Apple has the cash to practically change its own fortunes certainly far more than Netflix can. Just take one glance at the BlackBerry story and one can see how fleeting domination and market share can be. In 2007, all the Wall Street analysts swore nothing could touch the BlackBerry for the next ten years and we all know how that theory turned out. Same with the Windows netbook which succumbed even faster. Never say forever because the future has a mind of its own.

          1. Although many young people in the US are gullible enough to fight some war for old stupid men, the principles that they are fighting for could actually be something like ‘freedom of speech’ or the right to say something unpopular.

            silverhawk1, you LIVED through an unpopular war that the US lost and still can’t let it go. You won nothing and many lives were wasted. The only thing that came of the US fighting in Vietnam was a reinforcement of the belief that every problem is solvable with a gun. War solves nothing, educate people to think critically.

  2. Actually you are the sick one ‘sliverhawk’.
    No rational person unleashes vile tirades like that one with such little provocation.
    There is a 100% probability that you are suffering from some form of mental illness.
    And no, I’m not in a Korean call center.

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