“In a note to clients issued Tuesday, Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster reported the results of his annual cell phone survey,” Philip Elmer-DeWitt reports for Fortune.
“Asked what phone they were going to buy next, 65% said an Apple iPhone, 19% said a Google Android, 6.5% said ‘not a smartphone,’ 6% said ‘I don’t know,’ and 2.5% said a Research in Motion Blackberry,” P.E.D. reports. “51% of respondents who planned on making the iPhone their next smartphone (whether current iPhone users or not) said they were waiting for the iPhone 5.”
P.E.D. reports, “94.2% of iPhone users plan to buy an iPhone for their next phone, improving upon last year’s rate of 93%… Munster estimates that more than half of his projected 170 million iPhone sales for fiscal 2013 are already, as he puts it, ‘in the bag.'”
Read more in the full article here.
MacDailyNews Take: Bloodbath: Revenge of the Innovator. The tide has turned and it is blood red. Coming this fall.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “David E.” for the heads up.]
Related articles:
Apple’s iOS over 4 times more valuable to developers than Android – June 7, 2012
38% of U.S. iPhone sales are to refugees from Android or RIM, up from 29% in February – June 7, 2012
Android sees lowest U.S. user growth in three years – June 4, 2012
Nielsen: Apple’s U.S. iPhone market share surges as Android stalls – March 29, 2012
ABI: Apple iPhone tops smartphone market as Android suffers its first decline in share – January 27, 2012
Apple overtakes Samsung to take world’s largest smartphone vendor crown – January 27, 2012
These charts will make the Fandroids want to puke – January 26, 2012
AT&T sold 7.6 million iPhones and fewer than 1.8 million Android phones in Q411 – January 26, 2012
Apple’s iOS passes Google’s Android to take U.S. smartphone market share crown – January 25, 2012
Analyst: Verizon’s record iPhone sales signal waning demand for Google Android phones – January 24, 2012
I demand a recount! Did he skew his survey pool with intelligent people?
Android is simply the gateway drug to the iPhone. Those who try android first get a taste for what life can be like with a smartphone but the dream is never realized because of a weak centralized store for content, malware, fragmentation, and lack of support. These frustrations will bring people to the iPhone as their contracts run out.
…..
CORRECT 110% – GATEWAY iPhone DRUG …….
Son-in-Law and Daughter perfect example …. First the had And-Rip and I remember there face-to-face experience – Funny one had to wait for other – voice and face not in sync and at the time they said – It does everything an iPhone does and then some and it has flash too, Daddy!
Well Daughter, How is that Flash working out for you?
Fast forward not 2 years and they dumped those phones like hot rocks and got 4S as soon as Sprint had …..
Now I must school them on carriers, but with time!
Is this part of Piper’s other poll of 400 people as to what their phone is worth to them? With this few data points the conclusion is baseless.
“Investment firm Piper Jaffray recently polled more than 400 consumers from around the U.S. and Asia in its annual cell phone survey,”
Proud AAPL owner.
If te respondents are a diverse enough group to represent most smartphone users, 400 data points can well representation a much larger population with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Ever taken a statistics course?
But statistics is hard!
The survey’s worth is less dependent on the absolute number surveyed than the statistical model used and how the sample was determined. With a small sample and a well designed survey, and even given a or – 5% (or more) error rate, the data are impressive.
Me too I will buy an iPhone
Pretty much useless information. Wall Street is still convinced that iOS will continue to lose out against Android and possibly Windows Phone despite what any one person says. I personally don’t think that Wall Street will ever be convinced otherwise. I believe it may have something to do with Apple’s product pricing structure. Wall Street believes that less expensive products will always win out over more expensive products in the long run. Apple will be the richest tech companies on the planet but will remain undervalued with a falling P/E. I’ll never understand how RIM became a darling of Wall Street with what was supposedly a long and bright future a few years ago. Whatever that quality was, Apple doesn’t seem to have that quality despite being very successful at the moment.
There are calls for investors to buy Apple ahead of earnings, but that doesn’t seem to be happening to any degree. There is still time, so it may yet happen at the last minute.
Wow, looks like the Android base doesn’t like these numbers at all.
Android will be dropping in user base from all the dissatisfied first time buyers whose contracts have or are going to expire.
How sweet it is.
Who are those 19% and why is mediocrity satisfactory to them?