Is Apple a candidate for acquisition?

ZaggMateApple’s ‘trailing twelve months’ earnings were $17.91 per share. Therefore the P/E ratio is now 18.2. Excluding cash, the P/E is at 14.7. However, that’s based on 2010 levels of earnings. Those earnings are increasing very quickly,” Horace Dediu reports for asymco. “To account for earnings and their growth, I developed the following chart which shows the P/E and P/E/trailing-Growth for the stock.”

“The P/E is fluctuating on either side of 20 but when considering trailing growth, comparable companies, the macroeconomic conditions and guidance the value of the company is reaching new lows,” Dediu reports. “Earnings were 75% higher in 2010 than the year before. So based on the growth, the rule-of-thumb ratio P/E/training Growth (P/E/tG) is 0.24. This ratio (where 1.0 is seen as ‘fair value’) is the lowest since July 2009, during the first months of recession recovery.”

Dediu reports, “Given the new low in valuation contrasted with optimism on behalf of many (including management), on some forums there is discussion about Apple becoming the target for a take-over. There is some perverse merit to this logic. With $64 in cash, $25/yr in earnings and 75% growth it’s so cheap that if credit were available, it would make a tempting candidate.”

Read more in the full article here.

50 Comments

  1. Yes, $64 billion in cash will surely have the eye of many a corporate raider.

    That said, there simply isn’t enough credit in the world to buy a company so large. If there were ExxonMobil would’ve been taken private years ago.

  2. What a stupid story and a moron that wrote it. (Not moron in educational sense, just moron in logical sense). Steve Jobs is not about to let anybody buy his baby. If “credit were available” and someone tried to buy the worlds most valuable technology company (again, you would need LOTS of credit), then I am sure Apple would just use it’s cash hoard and any credit they could get to first purchase the company that is trying to purchase it.

  3. You would only need a controlling stock percentage ie 51%. However that is still a lot of cash. Plus to buy that stock from individual holders would take a long time and drive the price up as well.
    Dumb piece written to generate web hits. Job done as far as the writer is concerned.

  4. Is it just me or the collective IQ has dropped below the thermometer in this forum? At least, until ken1w or KenC decides to pitch in.

    Guys who are calling the writer moron should do well to note, he’s not saying that Apple is actually up for sale, rather it’s an excellent buy proposition (that would have made more sense in pre-bubble days), and that Apple is actually under valued and under appreciated at the market. In other words, the stock at this PE is a screaming steal. It also makes a strong case that under a capable hand that cash in hand can be used to pay off the debt (to acquire the company), implying doubly so how strong the company is, which has caught the blindsided Street look dumb in the headlight.

    Finally, there maybe is a line between the line, the cash pile for Apple, therefore, is now a strong reason why strategic acquisition is off the table for this company. Apple’s cash hording, thereby, seems not only reasonable, but a necessity.

  5. all readers of this site could do worse than read Horace Dediu’s site once in a while. One of the best analysts of the electronic space and digs deeper than most. Asymco.com is one of my favorites for Apple analysis.

    thanks for listening. now you can go back to frothing and wetting yourselves, if that’s your thing.

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