Will iPad end up killing the laptop?

Apple Online Store“Ever since Apple introduced the iPad earlier this year, some tech experts have predicted that consumers will all but abandon their laptops for lighter and more compact tablet computers,” Peter Suciu writes for CNBC.

MacDailyNews Take: We’ve each gone from carrying a 17-inch MacBook Pro (6.6 lbs. + ) to carrying an iPad 3G and an 11-inch MacBook Air (1.6 lbs. + 2.3 lbs. = 3.9 lbs. total). The bags we use are also much smaller and lighter. (We use Tom Bihn “Co-Pilot” bags or Crumpler “Salary Sacrifice” backpacks to carry our iPad + 11-inch MacBook Air mobile arsenals. Although they do fit in each bag, our iPhone 4’s are almost always in our pockets).

Suciu continues, “Others in the industry believe the expected demise of the laptop may be premature. Instead, the line between laptop, tablet computer and smartphone will likely blur as a variety of new products emerges that will appeal to different types of consumers. ‘There has already been a reset on how people are using the iPad,’ says Rob Enderle, principal analyst for the Enderle Group. ‘Early iPad people thought it was going to be ‘my everything device,’ but since it came out, half the people I know have gone back to notebooks. What is interesting is that they have moved to an Apple notebook not a Windows machine.'”

“The other factor to consider, says Enderle, is that no other product in the category has been as successful as the iPad,” Suciu reports. “He notes that the Samsung Galaxy had good sell to numbers, but not good sell through numbers at retail, and we could see history repeating itself. There is a chance, he says, that the tablet market could wind up like the digital music player market: dominated by Apple. There were of course MP3 and other digital music players before the iPod arrived, but since its release in late 2001, it has dominated the market. Says Enderle, ‘There is a chance the same thing could happen here.'”

MacDailyNews Take: Rob Enderle making sense… Uh oh. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes… The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together… Mass hysteria!

Suciu cobtinues, “The Apple iPad factored into Gartner’s PC sales prediction for this year. With just five weeks remaining in 2010, Gartner cut its forecast for PC shipments. Gartner Research Director George Shiffler stressed that forecast reductions actually reflected a general re-thinking of its forecast for mobile PC sales to the U.S. and Western European home markets, based on the impact of the Apple iPads as well as other media tablets including those made by traditional PC vendors.”

Full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: In Apple’s fiscal 2010 ended September 25, 2010, net sales and unit sales of Apple Macintosh notebook computers (MacBook, MacBook Pro, and MacBook Air) increased by 18% and 25%, respectively. If iPad is killing laptop sales, it’s only killing the ones that are festooned with Windows stickers. To complete this picture, someone just needs to hand Ballmer a fiddle.

34 Comments

  1. It is only a matter of a short time before we will know in more detail what the NC center will be doing. I hope that at least part of what it does will be user storage, wireless syncing and setting iOS devices free from computers.

    That, would give the iPad a further boost and make it even more desirable and dominant.

  2. Not in its current form factor. There are still some times and uses when a conventional laptop still trumps.

    But I think Steve was right when he said that the iPad creates a whole new niche and use case for computing. I take my iPad everywhere, and am totally hooked on having mobile internet and certain apps with me anywhere. The only thing that I can think of that changed how I look at computing was a) switching to Mac, and b) broadband internet.

    That said, the ipad goes on the charger when I get home and pull out the macbook to blog, send lengthier emails, and write.

  3. Ok the ipad just plain rocks, woever I won’t be “abandoning” my macbook for an ipad until ios (at least on the ipad) gets a windowing system and applescript (and i’m sure it will get both at some point)

  4. I say yes but not now. because everyone keeps asking me if the iPad is just a giant iPhone. so until people get that image out of there head i say no…probably in the 3rd or 4th generation when the specs are better like a nice front facing camera that is decent more memory etc…in time Im certain tho it has for me !

  5. You mean ‘netbook’? Then it is possible. But ipad won’t change laptop we usually talk about. Each device has different purpose. ipad never good for heavy duty work or real PC games. Even MacBook has the problem on gaming performance. I develop game. Mac is not for work. I use lots of 3D motion graphic which isn’t fit for Mac os x in gaming platform.

    Anyway, ipad is only light work or hobby which peo

  6. What the hell do you people do on your laptops that an ipad would make you lose interest in it. Check email, facebook and surf the web? What about those of us who do work on laptops? When an ipad starts running final cut pro, illustrator, photoshop and FLASH, call me.

  7. Thank you very much for the Ghostbusters quote in the MacDailyNews Take. Awesome.

    i’d rather switch between iOS and Mac OS on a MacBook Air 11 inch, if that becomes an option. I want my App Store apps and also the Internet things that the iPad can’t do.

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