“The astonishing rise of Androids from 0.7 million phones a year ago to 10.6 million phones as of the end of June has proven to be one of the biggest strategic moves in tech since, well, since Apple decided to get into the phone business,” Scott Moritz reports for TheStreet. “But that breakneck zero-to-60 dash was at a pace that Google has no chance of repeating ever again.”
MacDailyNews Take: Yes, Scott has more hair than sense, but many MacDailyNews readers requested this one, so here we go!
Moritz continues, “Riding the touchscreen trend launched by iPhone in 2007, Apple and Android phones were essentially the only two players in the game. Now that wide-open field is changing shape.”
Here are five reasons why the Google Android heyday is ending:
5: Hewlett-Packard’s Palm OS: Palm created one of the best touchscreen operating systems to rival Apple’s iPhone. Hewlett-Packard pickup of Palm gives it a viable smartphone software to power its mobile device attack.
MacDailyNews Take: Like we said, hair and sense or lack thereof. Palm’s WebOS is a failure. It is a double that needed to be a grand slam. It is superfluous in the market today. Let’s see if HP can get a CEO to stick around for more than few years before we proclaim their pickup of Palm – and subsequent shedding of key Palm personnel – as a viable threat to anyone.
4: Nokia: Down, but not yet out, Nokia, the Finnish phone colossus which still ranks as the world’s largest smartphone player, could make a go of MeeGo, its restart in smartphone software.
MacDailyNews Take: Yeah, and Steve Ballmer could win “Dancing With The Stars.”
3: Microsoft Windows Phone 7
MacDailyNews Take: Oh, please. Android vs. WebOS vs. Windows 7 vs. MeeGo – it’s the battle of the also-rans! Who can make the closest iOS facsimile without getting sued back into the stone age?
2: RIM BlackBerry 6
MacDailyNews Take: Oh, yeah, BlackBerry. Tellingly, we forgot. Add it to the list in our previous Take above.
1: Verizon iPhone
MacDailyNews Take: BINGO. Damn you, Scott, for toying with us by serving up four jokes before finally getting to the one real reason why Google’s Android has peaked.
Full article – recommended, gasp! – here.
Moritz sucks, but he did notice the obvious: Android has surged because in the US it had no real competition for the customers of 3 of the 4 telcos for over a year. just like the iPhone had no competition at all for 2 years. now finally there will be several serious competitors. the market will inevitably divide up among them.
Reason 1a.
Droid doesn’t.
😀 Great MDN take!
And if many wishes are granted, in addition to a Verizon iPhone, one for Sprint, and T-Mobile, and all other U.S. carriers.
I guess it must be hard to write stuff that has “Apple”, “Google” and
“Microsoft” in the same story week after week.
Good thing Moritz can regurgitate stories from the last 2 months. Android’s surge, 3 words: No Verizon iPhone.
http://themacadvocate.com/2009/05/21/scott-moritz-gtfo/
He discounts T-Mobile (GSM)… 34 million is less than VZ’s 100 mil or so… still, i have so many friends that have Androids or a Jailbroken iPhone… Because of this outdated deal with AT&T.
Apple barely makes enough iPhones to keep up with demand. And they haven’t even made it to all the countries on their list, let alone the carriers in the US outside of AT&T.
In any case… I say, T-Mobile… followed by VZ… lastly Sprint…
in the end it doesn’t matter what order… just as long as it happens.
It is odd that most analysts have not picked up on the desperation in the Android sector. The toehold they have is based on Apple’s exclusive with ATT. They’re giving away the OS and the phones and shoveling cash into advertising. They are not making money, and significant profitability is a distant dream. Apple devices are making billions. New Apple product upgrades are coming one after another.
If the iphone hits verizon I’d assume they would have an exclusive for a certain amount of months just to lock people in.. then off to sprint or tmobile…
I’d presonally rather see sprint get it so verizon can take it up the ass for making a dumb move of not getting the iphone in 07. And because they are bigger crooks than the rest.
Real reason why Google’s Android has peaked….
…Out of weed!!!
Nobody is pointing to the obvious that the ip4 is out of stock. Apple just can’t meet the demand and others are picking up the slack.
Android will eventually hit an incompatibility wall, as more and different hardware specs are released. The differences in screen resolution alone will make a big difference in that regard. Apple supports 3, with one disappearing in current devices soon.
At this point in the US, neither Verizon, nor Sprints’s networks support 3G. Apple would have to redesign the iPhone to support those current CDMA networks.
T-Mobile supports 3G. Today.
AT&T supports 3G. Today.
The iPhone is 3G. Today.
The GLOBAL STANDARD is 3G. NOW.
Which US network would be the logical NEXT choice for Apple to partner with, especially given Apple’s strategy of simple product lines?
People also forget that Verizon hates Apple. Well, at least Apples rules for selling the iPhone. While Apple could sell an unlocked iPhone for use on Verizons network, I just have trouble seeing an Apple / Verizon partnership.
Remember Verizon…. Passing on the iPhone cause of all of Apples requirements.?????
Just a thought,
en
I really enjoy my Verizon iPhone. Almost as much as my Microsoft Courier tablet PC. What do you mean vaporware?
But just a few weeks ago, according to the media, Android, or Hemorrhoid as I like to call it, was going to rule the world. Could ANALyst like Moritz have lied to us? Oh the humanity of it, say it isn’t true.
MW: Values, as in whats happened to them?
@EN
Remember Verizon…. Passing on the iPhone cause of all of Apples requirements.?????
I know! Apple just couldn’t close the dealio, even after agreeing to every one of Verizon’s requirements, huh? Perhaps Apple should lower their standards.
Pfffffhhhhht!
Why do Americans allow themselves to be dictated to by carriers?
You wouldn’t put up with it if you were truly free and brave.
left brain
Go back and get it…
Good ol’ Mr. Reeee. Make sure your ass is there when MDN makes their post on the release of the Verizon iPhone. Don’t go sticking your head in the sand. I’ve got a list and you’re at the very top. R2 is gonna have a lot of fun that day.
I can’t understand why so many people are expecting WebOS to take off on tablets. If it failed miserably on a phone, why would it suddenly work on a tablet? It’s the same stupid hype all over again. Those who don’t learn from history (HP) are doomed to repeat it (gizmodo commenters).
#4 MDN take needs link to the Dancing Buffoon
Alt. version
So if iPhone on Verizon is the only thing that is holding back the iPhone from world domination, how come the iPhone is only neck and neck with Android here in Europe, where every vendor sells the iPhone? I’m an HTC Desire user, but I seriously considered the iPhone beforehand. I just think this whole idea of iPhone on Verizon being the ultimate trump card a little simple minded.
I personally think its the hardware. There is just more choice in the Android camp. You have to wait a while between new iPhones, but there is a new Android phone almost weekly. I mean, it looks like there will be a dual-core, 1.3Ghz HTC Glacier soon, plus with Samsung and Motorola firing on all cylinders, the Android camp is going to be getting even more exciting.
I think different versions of the iPhone might help. Maybe a keyboard on some models, or different size screens. Who knows.
#1 reason why this story is crap: simple, Android is nowhere near peaking. You can bury you head in the sand and believe all is good and android is just going to quietly go away, consigned to the dustbin of IT history has an anomaly, but we know differently. It is here, it huge and getting bigger all the time. Luckily for apple they trawl the deep end of the ocean where the high profitability is so it’s impact will mean smaller marketshare (from increasing market), but probably no less profit. Seems a bit analogous to windows and osx really.
Start by saying I have an iphone 3GS and love it. Bought my daughter the 4, and she loves it too. My grown daughter and husband also have iphones and an ipad (my wife is a smart phone holdout). I own no other apple products other than a couple of ipods, which I hate (itunes).
Having said that, I don’t understand the fanboy “Us against the world” mentality at all. It seems that you don’t want the iphone to have any competition at all and that makes absolutely no sense (unless you own Apple stock). I only know one person that actually has an android phone (HTC Evo), but he really likes it. There are certainly advantages to having a phone that you don’t have to “jailbreak” to really take advantage of it’s capabilities. I hate the Apple itunes captive customer business model. It seems to me that Apple is trying to become the “Big Brother” that they used to say was the enemy. Closed system, fewer incompatibility issues etc etc. I understand that and it makes Apple great for the technically challenged, but why would you want that to be the only option? I use a lot of guitar and music/recording software that is just not available on the Mac and never will be. The Apple II was so successful against much cheaper competitors in the 80s largely because of those “slots’ that let you do what you wanted with it. The losers in that war (Commodore, Atari, TI, Coleco, to name a few) were closed systems. The PC is so successfull because of it’s open system and because they don’t charge you to write software for it and Microsoft doesn’t get a cut of every “app” sold.
“They’re giving away the OS and the phones and shoveling cash into advertising. They are not making money”. My fanboy friend told me the same thing when more and more people started using droids, “They’re buy one get one free. Apple is making way more money”. And that is cause for celebration? Is the object for me to have the best smart phone available at the best price or for Apple to make lots of money? I dont’ care if Apple or Google make more money and I don’t understand why you do. Bigger display, wifi hotspot – I wouldn’t mind having those features on my iphone. If somone makes a good smart phone and they will give it to you in return for signing a service contract, why isn’t that a good thing as opposed to a two year commitment AND 200 dollars? The Mac has (I’m told) a much better os than Windows, but Windows PCs have 80 or 90% of the market (I’m guessing) anyway. Why? Price.
“Apple can’t meet the demand” Neither can the android mgfs. The recession caused cutbacks by all the asian chip manufacturers. That’s causing delays in droid phone production as well.
“The android has peaked”, therefore Apple dominance of the smart phone market will continue, and that’s good?
Android is already dead. Its already become so fragmented it doesn’t really exist anymore. To the average consumer Droids, Samsungs and HTCs are completely different. While the underlying OS is the same the consumer interacts with each very differently. what works on one doesn’t work on another. Hell you can get confused going between models of the same brand. iPod, iPad, iphone 3G, 3GS and 4 all work the same to the consumer. They all work with iTunes the same way.
In the end the biggest thing that will kill android is the fact that people are using android and finding all the rough edges.
@Brulek
It’s simple, really. If you want an idea of how competitive Android would be, look overseas and see how well it competes with an iPhone that is carried by more than one telco.
Exactly.