“Apple is slated to come out with a new phone. Reports say that it will have a slide-out keyboard, 4GB or 8GB of storage, and work on CDMA or GSM cellular networks. It will start at $249 before subscription rebates,” Michael Kanellos writes for CNET. “And it will largely fail.”
“Initially, of course, it won’t look that way at all. As with any Apple product release, it will be ushered into the world on a wave of obligatory gushing,” Kanellos writes.
“Sales for the phone will skyrocket initially. However, things will calm down, and the Apple phone will take its place on the shelves with the random video cameras, cell phones, wireless routers and other would-be hits,” Kanellos writes. “Why won’t the Apple phone succeed? It will be a great piece of hardware that, if I wasn’t the cheapest man in North America, I might buy. The entire strategy, however, is based on what I call ‘iPod magic.’ Apple succeeded with the iPod, the theory goes. Therefore, they can break into other categories and turn them upside down.”
“But the iPod looks like it may turn out to be a non-repeatable experience. Look at the historical record. When the iPod emerged in late 2001, it solved some major problems with MP3 players,” Kanellos writes. “Unfortunately for Apple, problems like that don’t exist in the handset business. Cell phones aren’t clunky, inadequate devices. Instead, they are pretty good. Really good.”
Fans of insipid blather can read the full article here.
The phones that the vast majority of people have today suck. Kanellos’ amazingly incongruous point that they call the Blackberry the “Crackberry,” so it must be good and therefore nobody will want the iPhone, could only have any chance of working if: a) it actually is good and b) if the vast majority of people have Blackberry smart phones, which they don’t. Kanellos also thinks that because Apple hasn’t sold 100 million Mac minis that the iPhone will be a failure. No, really, he does. With that kind of “logic” in play who needs nonsense?
While a requiem for vapor is yet another interesting way to waste bandwidth, we’ll wait for the product to actually be released before we comment further, thanks. In the meantime, you can bet your Mac that Kanellos’ article has been iCal’ed here at MDN for future reference.
I can imagine how this will work. Apple will make the phone sync with iapps the same way iPods sync with itunes. You will update your phone from your computer. When you take a picture it will sync with iphoto. Your calender with iCal. Your contacts with the address book. Your music with itunes. You will be able to use the camera with video depending which memory module you use. Then the video will sync with imovie, itunes or iphoto.
The click wheel will be used to select the contact you want to call in your address book or event in your calender or to Todo list. The click wheel will also be used to take pictures in camera mode.
Because of the OSX software integration it will take phone makers years to catch up.
The smart phone will include all the features of the smaller model but will use a mobile OSX with richer feature set. iChat video with Skype or Gizmo type features. If apple make the phone internet capable. It’s all over but the crying part.
This will free up memory on the phone. It will have a front row type interface. The phone makers will zune their pants with hot wet brown mud patties.
iPhone will fail if it’s just a mobile phone that will compete with Nokia and the gang. The trick will be that it’s tightly integrated to the OS X.
Maybe there really will be a keyboard that the iPhone will dock to which will help u to type sms messages easily.
Maybe it really is like an iPod but with a extra function of being a phone. If it has a WiFi it could be used as a Skype phone.
Maybe the trick is that u can steam video and slide shows from your phone/mac to somebody on the run or vise versa.
The main thing will be that it is a pod ea. extension to your computer.
“People are literally crying out for a simple you use phone that has an intuitive control method and interface.
There is NO phone on the market that has this and Apple is the only company that can do it right.”
most people use the number keys, the red and green phone buttons, and perhaps pick a number or two from a contacts list.
Most phones do that just fine.
Those that need better email/scheduling use something like a Blackberry, which works just fine. Even the Motorola iTunes phones work just like an iPod, How would Apple plan to “improve” on that?
“took ME about 10 minutes to find the voicemail command. “
usually done by pressing and holding one key. Apple’s going to come up with Psychic Voicemail where you don’t have to do anything but think that you want to call it?
” If apple make the phone internet capable. It’s all over but the crying part.
“
Yes, to date Mobile Internet’s been a real winner. More bandwidth, not an Apple phone is what’s going to change that.
“I can imagine how this will work. Apple will make the phone sync with iapps the same way iPods sync with itunes. You will update your phone from your computer. When you take a picture it will sync with iphoto. Your calender with iCal. Your contacts with the address book. Your music with itunes. You will be able to use the camera with video depending which memory module you use. Then the video will sync with imovie, itunes or iphoto. “
Wow, just like any phone with PC sync capability. Only the PC world does this wirelessly over the air for email/contacts/schedule.
“The click wheel will be used to select the contact you want to call in your address book or event in your calender or to Todo list. The click wheel will also be used to take pictures in camera mode.”
Wow, just like Blackberry etc only more awkward. Try using the clickwheel with one hand while not looking at the phone. It’s bad enough using a limited functionality device like an iPod while driving.
“Maybe there really will be a keyboard that the iPhone will dock to which will help u to type sms messages easily. “
That’d be so non unique.
“Maybe it really is like an iPod but with a extra function of being a phone. If it has a WiFi it could be used as a Skype phone. “
Been done, including Skype.
“Maybe the trick is that u can steam video and slide shows from your phone/mac to somebody on the run or vise versa.”
Also done.
“The main thing will be that it is a pod ea. extension to your computer.”
Already there.
As the man says, the iPod went into a wide open category in which there was little competition. The iPhone will be struggling to present a unique proposition because whatever it does there’s probably already a proven mobile device which does the same thing.
I wonder what this non-forward thinking writer has to say now that the iPhone has been officially announced? Apple’s announcement was definitely the shot heard ’round the world. Look at the markets – the competitors’ stocks are down, and on the other side of that equation companies aligned with the iPhone are notably up. Apple is trading at an all-time high.
i know it is too easy to post comments about 9 month old posts, but this one by “S.F. Analyst” was goofball stupid even before he foolishly committed it to print:
<<I am a S.F. analyst too.
And I am a friend of Michael Kanellos.
Let me tell you guys, Michael Kanellos is ALWAYS right.
If he says that the iPod phone will fail — IT WILL FAIL.
That’s why he is an analyst and you guys are not.
He went to school for that stuff.
He has a degree in that stuff.
He has experience saying that kind of stuff.
And when an analyst like Michael Kanellos say something,
everybody listens — and Mac Daily News publishes what
he says — because everyone knows he is most likely CORRECT.
So there you have it.
Michael Kanellos is an analyst and Michael Kanellos knows the iPhone WILL FAIL.>>
imagine that? (chuckle) an analyst giving the thumbs up to his colleague’s in-depth and pointed critique of a product that didn’t even exist!! sf analyst, you and Kanellos got your degrees at Clown School. the big shoes and big red nose gave you guys away.
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