“After years of slowing earnings growth and little in the way of excitement for many Wall Street analysts, many are now hopeful that President-elect Donald Trump will finally make things interesting,” Julie Verhage reports for Bloomberg. “When collating data for the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Analyst Index — a proprietary measure of growth across different sectors of the S&P 500 — the firm included a question this month on what the election of Donald Trump will mean for the industries covered by those surveyed. Turns out, they are rather optimistic. ”
“‘This month, we asked analysts to comment on how the results of the U.S. election will affect companies in their respective sectors,’ the team led by Avisha Thakkar writes in the new note. ‘While their responses suggest that there is still uncertainty about the sector-level impact, the majority of sectors are anticipating favorable effects,’ they say, adding that expectations of lower tax rates and economic stimulus are among key reasons for the favorable outlook,” Verhage reports. “Goldman certainly isn’t the first to hail the potential benefits of a Trump presidency. Dubravko Lakos-Bujas and Marko Kolanovic, quantitative analysts at JPMorgan Chase and Co., also wrote that many of Trump’s policies would be ‘pro-growth,’ even while uncertainty about specifics remains high. They wrote this week that if the campaign promises that have the potential to stimulate growth get implemented, the S&P 500 could see as much as $20 in additional earnings-per-share growth over the next few years.”
“Of course there’s no suggestion that all industries will benefit alike: Goldman’s analysts expect some to miss out, and some even to suffer under Trump,” Verhage reports. “Some respondents said they expected the election outcome to weigh negatively on their sectors; among those were autos, aerospace, clean energy, and agribusiness.”
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