Apple’s iPad will be dominant until…

“Watching the professional industry watchers speculate on how long Apple’s iPad will dominate its market segment is kind of funny,” Jim Dalrymple writes for TechPinions. “Will it be 2012, 2013, no it’s going to be 2015 and then they will fall, right?”

“There are two things that prognosticators seem to neglect when forecasting Apple’s demise.First, In order for Apple to fail so badly in the tablet market, they would need to stop innovating completely. If Apple released the same iPad, with no new hardware or software features for two years, they could be overtaken in the market,” Dalrymple writes. “However, that’s not what Apple does.”

Dalrymple writes, “The second thing that people count on is that Apple’s competitors will stop trying to copy Apple’s success and make a move to surpass the iPad. Recent history suggests that none of Apple’s competitors are willing to do this… The next time you see a forecast of Apple losing its dominance in a market, ask yourself what the competitors are doing to differentiate themselves from Apple. That answer is all you need to know.”

Much more in the full article here.

12 Comments

    1. Thats exactly what I thought a couple of days ago after reading an article of how dominant android’s market share in the smartphone market is….

      margin drops to 10%: game over
      …I wonder if samsung & co would sell their devices below manufacturing cost just to stay in the market, as they’re have to sell with very low margins at present just to compete with apple. I’m shure Balmer would!

  1. You can’t surpass Apple by copying Apple.

    Furthermore, the competition can’t keep up with Apple. Trying to do so (to match iPad) has been a money-losing proposition. By the time a flawed rush-job iPad copy is released, Apple has already “lapped” the competition with the newest model.

    This is the year the competition gives up on going head-to-head with iPad. Instead, the focus will shift to “niches” that Apple intentionally ignores. When Windows 8 is finally released, I predict a rash of “convertible” tablets that have some sort of built-in physical keyboard. There will also be more ultra low-end tablets like Kindle Fire, that sell for very little (or no) profit, with the hope of making after-sale revenue through content sales or ads. They will probably also try extra large tablets that are too large and heavy to hold and use, so need to be propped up on a table (the “desktop tablet”). They will continue with smaller (than iPad) tablets, but I think Apple will invade that territory at some point.

    The only hope for iPad “competitors” is to avoid iPad, and go where Apple will not go.

    1. yes, the others may get a short streach of beating the resales at that point, but when the 3-D Holographic iPad (late 2015) comes out with a feature that will polish your knob, the other tablets will lose even the resale market when people want to upgrade from the surround sound smell-0-rama iPad (early 2015) to the latest and greatest!

  2. The biggest problem Apple’s competitors have is that they are simply hardware assemblers. Apple is willing to invest years to perfect a product before bringing it to the market, and Apple looks at software as an extension of the hardware. These other companies simply look at selling hardware, and they’ll stick whatever software on it they can get at little or no cost.

    Until a company comes along that cares about user experience more than the number of units sold, Apple will continue to dominate, particularly in the tablet market. Apple is concerned with user experience first, and knows that sales will follow if it gets the user experience right.

  3. To beat Apple, you need a way to make profits from selling tablet computers. Nobody has so far worked out how to do that and if a company doesn’t make sustainable profits, it goes the way of Dell and Rim.

  4. Just as with the iPod, Apple has a unique way to improve and market iPads.

    I believe that no competitor can duplicate the combination of design, content, supply line and retail superiority in the foreseeable future, if ever.

    Phones can be and are marketed through phone companies and shops as well as being subsidised by them. This will always be the difference between Android and iOS in phones and tablets.

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