Motorola exec on Apple TV: ‘I wouldn’t be surprised if it would be a big dud’

Apple Store“With the Apple TV now shipping, the question remains: will people want one and, if so, what will its impact on the market be? The question is whether Apple will rise to the top, or be swamped by the existing solutions,” Bryan Gardiner writes for PC Magazine. “Can it carve out a niche?”

Gardiner reports, “Unsurprisingly, vendors of existing products don’t think so. In fact, Jeff Binder, senior director of Motorola’s Connected Home Solutions, said the Apple TV unit might very well turn out to be what he characterized as a ‘dud.'”

“‘It’s orders of magnitude less interesting than the iPod,’ he said of the new Apple TV. ‘I wouldn’t be surprised if it would be a big dud, frankly, but it will give [Apple] a lot of knowledge. They’re an innovative company; they’ll learn from their mistakes.’ When asked if Motorola was worried that Apple TV would challenge (or move in on) the set-top box market, Binder didn’t seem too troubled. ‘I don’t really think [our set-top boxes] compete with it at all,” he said. “I’m a big fan of Apple in the computing market…but just generally really I don’t see it as a competitive product. It’s a pretty nifty gadget, but it doesn’t change the way we watch the television. It’s different than how the iPod changed the way we listened to music.’ Binder went on to say that there are three keys areas where Apple TV fails: as a PVR (personal video recorder), in HD (high definition), and its lack of support for video on demand,” Gardiner reports.

MacDailyNews Take: Apple TV also fails as a major league pitcher, but it doesn’t try to be one, either. Ditto for the PVR. HD can be turned on at the iTunes Store level (when both bandwidth and content providers’ comfort becomes more plentiful) and, indeed, Apple TV is capable of HD (1080i) right now. Apple TV does not lack support for video-on-demand (quite the contrary) – it’s just not being used by Apple beyond movie trailers and short clips right now.

Over a year ago, in January 2006, Technology Review’s Daniel Turner astutely asked, “If Front Row can stream movie trailers from Apple’s website, why not whole movies?”

And, just two days ago, Walt Mossberg wrote in his Apple TV review, “Apple TV’s most important limitation is that it can’t stream much video or audio directly from the Internet — yet. The capability to go directly to the Internet, bypassing the computers in your home, is built in, but is initially being used only to fetch feature film trailers and short preview clips of popular songs, TV shows and movies sold on the iTunes store. Apple TV also won’t allow you to buy media directly from the iTunes store. You must first download content from the Internet or iTunes on a computer, and then Apple TV will grab it from the computer and play it on the TV. In its usual secretive fashion, Apple refuses to say if or when this direct-to-the-Internet capability will be expanded. But we fully expect Apple to add the capability to stream or download a variety of content directly from the Internet, and that this new capability will be available on current Apple TV boxes through software updates.”

Gardiner continues, “Michael Gartenberg, vice president and research director at Jupiter Research, takes a different view, saying that comparing Apple TV to other solutions likes DVRs and is actually unfair. ‘It’s like being in the market for a car, and comparing a Toyota Prius to the Sequoia,’ Gartenberg said. ‘If you’re looking at the Prius, you’re certainly not considering the Sequoia. I just don’t see [Apple TV] as competing with those products at all. What this is really about is leveraging the platform that iTunes has become…getting that content to the most important screen in the home: the TV. If you’re a part of that ecosystem, this is product form you,’ Gartenberg said.”

Full article here.
We can smell that Motorola lackey’s fear through the Internet. It’s a rational fear. 110 million iTunes users and counting. 110 million. Surely, he can see that there’s more to Apple TV than immediately meets the eye. Apple’s future moves are going to be very exciting in this space!

MacDailyNews Note: Apple TV specs:
• Video formats supported: H.264 and protected H.264 (from iTunes Store): 640 by 480, 30 fps, LC version of Baseline Profile; 320 by 240, 30 fps, Baseline profile up to Level 1.3; 1280 by 720, 24 fps, Progressive Main Profile. MPEG-4: 640 by 480, 30 fps, Simple Profile
• Audio formats supported: AAC (16 to 320 Kbps); protected AAC (from iTunes Store); MP3 (16 to 320 Kbps); MP3 VBR; Apple Lossless; AIFF; WAV
• Photo formats supported: JPEG, BMP, GIF, TIFF, PNG
• Enhanced-definition or high-definition widescreen TVs capable of 1080i 60/50Hz, 720p 60/50Hz, 576p 50Hz (PAL format), or 480p 60Hz

Related articles:
Analyst: Apple TV will change the TV business – March 23, 2007
G4’s ‘Attack of the Show’ host Olivia Munn licks Apple TV – March 23, 2007
Xvid fully functional on Apple TV – March 23, 2007
Apple TV does not require Widescreen TV or HDTV, works with standard TVs – March 23, 2007
CBS looks at Apple TV on ‘The Early Show’ (with video) – March 23, 2007
Scoble: ‘Apple TV rocks’ – March 23, 2007
Apple TV hard drive upgrade works – March 23, 2007
Apple TV dissection photos – March 22, 2007
Apple posts Apple TV User’s Guide online – March 22, 2007
Enderle: ‘Apple’s attractive and well packaged Apple TV likely to set the pace’ – March 22, 2007
David Pogue demos Apple TV in humorous NY Times’ video – March 22, 2007
PC Magazine review gives Apple TV 4 out of 5 stars – March 22, 2007
NY Times’ Pogue: ‘Apple TV offers a gracious, elegant, effortless, delightful experience’ – March 21, 2007
Mossberg hands-on with Apple TV: ‘beautiful design, easy-to-use, classic Apple: simple and elegant’ – March 21, 2007
Apple TV projected to surpass TiVo, Netflix – March 20, 2007
Former Microsoft ‘Enthusiast Evangelist’ Gartenberg looks at impact of Apple TV – March 20, 2007
Apple TV ships – March 20, 2007
Apple shares rise on positive Apple TV analyst comments – March 19, 2007
Analysts: Apple to ride Apple TV + iTunes ‘Trojan horse’ into living room – March 19, 2007
Will Apple TV be even bigger than iPhone? – March 19, 2007
Apple adds 720p Apple TV high-definition export mode to QuickTime – March 19, 2007
Apple planning to buy Miglia to add DVR capabilities to iTunes and Apple TV? – March 17, 2007
Miglia debuts TVMAX+ Mac PVR, TV tuner, content provider for iPod, iPhone or Apple TV – March 16, 2007
Piper Jaffray expects 2 million Apple TV units to be sold in 2007 – March 16, 2007
Apple TV ships – March 15, 2007
Solution providers expect Apple TV to be hot seller – March 15, 2007
Apple TV could help kill traditional TV ads – March 14, 2007
Apple TV manufacturing ramp up to begin as early as today – March 12, 2007
Why Apple TV is more important than iPhone – March 12, 2007
Apple TV concept may eventually catch on with consumers – March 12, 2007
Apple CFO talks Apple TV, iPhone, Leopard and retail (link to full transcript) – March 07, 2007
PC Magazine: Why Apple TV matters – February 23, 2007
Bear Stearns: Apple TV and iPhone have changed the Apple story for the better – February 21, 2007
Deutsche Bank: Apple TV could take 30% of set-top box market within a few years – February 21, 2007
How do Apple TV and Elgato’s EyeTV work together? – February 16, 2007
Apple embraces casual gaming; iPhone, Apple TV to join iPod as gaming devices – February 09, 2007
Former GM of Microsoft’s Xbox Live Arcade: Apple TV to become video game console – February 08, 2007
ZDNet’s Graham: Apple TV hits a number of sweet spots, poised to make a big impact – January 25, 2007
Is Apple out to kill cable television? – January 25, 2007
RUMOR: Apple TV sales blowing away Apple’s internal expectations – January 25, 2007
Steve Jobs: Apple TV is the ‘DVD player for the 21st century’ – January 22, 2007
Apple TV beats out iPod, hits top spot on Apple Store sales chart – January 19, 2007
Report: first batch of 100,000 Apple TVs to ship this month – January 11, 2007
Steve Jobs moves to control the living room with Apple TV – January 10, 2007
Analyst Bajarin: Apple’s iPhone and Apple TV are industry game changers – January 09, 2007
Apple premieres Apple TV: movies, TV shows, music & photos on your big screen TV – January 09, 2007
RUMOR: Apple may enter video game market – December 05, 2006
Could Apple become king of game consoles? – September 26, 2006
If Front Row can stream movie trailers from Apple, why not whole movies? – January 06, 2006

Reader Feedback (You DO NOT need to log in to comment. If not logged in, just provide any name you choose and an email address after typing your comment below)

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.