According to new market research reports by Computer Industry Almanac, in the first 30 years of the PC industry, from 1975 to 2004, cumulative PC sales surpassed 1.4B units. In the next five years, 2006 through 2010, cumulative PC sales will reach 1.3B units or nearly as much as the first 30 years. Cumulative PC sales reached nearly 130M units in 1990, over 1.6B in 2005 and are forecasted to top 2.9B in 2010.
The leading PC companies have changed considerably in the last 20 years as seen in the next table. Until the early 1990s Apple or IBM was the worldwide leader in PC unit sales. Since 1994 Compaq, Dell or HP have been the leader in PC unit sales.
Dell’s 5-year PC unit sales have grown from 5M+ during 1991-95 to 42M from 1996 to 2000 and to 133M PCs during 2001-05. Further growth to 246M units is forecasted for the next 5-year period. HP is a strong second and could do better if its current PC growth continues. Lenovo with its IBM acquisition will remain #3 in the next five years.
The Worldwide PC report has yearly sales for desktop and mobile PCs for the USA and six regions of the world from 1990 to 2011. The report also has sales estimates and projections for eight leading PC manufacturers.
Computer Industry Almanac publishes market research reports for the PC, Smartphone, and Internet industries. For more information see http://www.c-i-a.com
Of course, the Computer Industry Almanac isn’t staffed by soothsayers and there’s no way to measure wide-ranging variables. For one example: the “twofer” effect of Mac OS X Leopard’s ability to run all major applications (Mac OS X and Windows) on the personal computer industry.
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