After spending 48 hours with the Apple Vision Pro, Gene Munster has compiled a list of “trade-offs” facing the new spatial computer and spatial computing platform: price, weight, battery pack, prescription lenses, vision issues, and the cumbersomeness of guest mode which inhibits easy sharing /demoing to friends and family (in contrast to how easy it was to show off the first iPhones to neophytes).
Gene Munster for Deepwater Asset Management:
On day one, the iPhone was immediately useful and it was immediately obvious to me why I would buy one. I wanted desktop class internet in my pocket. I bought an iPhone on day one and have used one every day since.
The iPad has been different. It wasn’t immediately obvious to me how I would use an iPad instead of my Mac or my iPhone. I bought one and I use it from time to time, but I don’t use it daily. Given the lower utility, I upgrade my iPad less frequently.
On the spectrum of revolutionary Apple products over the past 25 years, Vision Pro lands somewhere the middle.
The iPhone (and other post-iPhone smartphones) is one of the highest utility tools humankind has ever created. It stands to reason that Apple, the creator of the category, is one of the largest companies in the world, and iPhone is its largest business (roughly 50% of revenue).
Based on a very limited scope of heavy usage and testing, I believe the Vision product segment will be bigger than Apple Watch (5% of Apple revenue) and smaller than iPhone (50%), similar to iPad (10%), within the next decade.
MacDailyNews Take: The Apple Vision Pro is currently limited because so much of its content was designed for 2D. It’s filled with flat iPad apps running in an OS, visionOS, that offers so many more possibilities. With the passage of time and as developers learn to think and design in 3D — as sculptors, not the poster makers they are today — the Vision Pro will achieve its full promise. That is when it will surpass iPad in revenue and, eventually, unit sales.
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The Vision Pro is an iPad replacement. The Vision Non-Pro (i.e. glasses) will be an iPhone replacement.
What’s the text input method? Siri? A floating keyboard?
No, we’re far from the iPhone being replaced. Knowing Apple they’ll make future glasses an accessory to the iPhone. It’d be great if your iPhone could be used for text input into the Vision Pro but apparently the minimum focus distance is too far for now, text is blurry when trying to look at your iPhone while wearing AVP.
iPad: $443 Vision Pro: $3,499. The Vision Pro will be the iPad’s replacement? That’s like saying a Ferrari will be a Honda Civic’s replacement.
Replacement for the iPad? Maybe. More like a replacement for the local cinema. And that’s just a start. Concerts, over a five-year span, will surely offer Vision Pro tickets. Porn industry? Don’t get me started. Then there’s education, training, sports, medicine and shopping.
Oh, my.😎
As a replacement for the local cinema, I guess that depends on whether you enjoy the crowd experience. Until AVP can allow you to interact with others while experiencing movies, concerts, sporting events, etc. it won’t truly replace any of them. You’d just feel like a ghost among the crowd actually there physically.
Highly disagree. From the beginning, the iPad was something that the average household could obtain or anything who didn’t necessarily need a laptop or desktop. It’s a need device for most who buy one.
The Vision Pro, it’s not a need device. Nobody needs to poke their fingers into the air and close themselves to the rest of the world around them in order to perform daily tasks. It’s for nor now a high end accessory that gives mainly the wealthy folks a taste of the distant future. So no, I don’t see the Vision Pro competing with the iPad. It’s just way too out of reach for the majority of Apple Customers and it will be for many years.