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Morgan Stanley sees accelerated growth for Apple in September quarter

Investment bank Morgan Stanley expects Apple’s June quarter earnings to be in line with expectations, but predicts much higher growth in the September quarter.

William Gallagher for AppleInsider:

“We expect a largely in-line June Q but see 4-9% upside to Sept Q rev/EPS, driven by relative strength in iPhone, Mac, Services & Gross Margins,” the analysts tell investors in a note seen by AppleInsider. “History shows Apple outperforms by 5-10 pts after guiding the Sept Q higher, creating a positive setup into earnings next [week].”

The investment bank is maintaining its growth outlook, and says the August 3 earnings are a “positive stock catalyst that can help Apple shares re-rate towards our unchanged $220 price target.

Apple does of course launch new iPhones in September, but sales of those will mostly [a]ffect the following quarter. Nonetheless, Morgan Stanley says it remains “5-10% above Consensus in the September quarter, with upside to iPhone, Mac, Services and Gross Margins.”

The analysts say that Street estimates for the company are “conservative given secular and cyclical tailwinds.”

“Importantly, we believe this means Apple will guide to Y/Y revenue growth for the first time in 4 quarter[s],” says the report, “with the growth acceleration coming from the “right” segments — iPhone and Services.”

MacDailyNews Take: Currently, for Apple’s fiscal Q323 (June), the analysts’ consensus calls for the company to report EPS of $1.07 (vs. $1.20 YoY) on revenue of $73.33 billion (vs. $82.96 billion YoY) on Thursday, August 3, 2023 after the bell.

As always, we’ll have Apple’s results on August 3rd right around 1:30 p.m. PT / 4:30 p.m. ET. followed by live notes from Apple’s conference call beginning at 2:00 p.m. PT / 5:00 p.m. ET.

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