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Why Eric Schmidt’s prediction about Android vs. iOS development is dead wrong

“Google Chariman Eric Schmidt recently addressed an Android user lamenting the fact that that mobile apps are often released on Apple’s iOS platform well before they finally reach Android,” Yoni Heisler writes for Network World. “Schmidt cooly and curiously explained that this dynamic will change in just 6 months.”

“From Schmidt’s perspective, it’s nothing more than a numbers game. More Android users = more potential customers = more attractive platform for developers. That, however, is an overly simplistic view of mobile development resting on the erroneous assumption that all mobile users, across all platforms, are one and the same,” Heisler writes. “The reality is much more nuanced and can be boiled down to a simple precept – not all smartphone users are created equal. An analogous and illustrative example can be found in TV advertising where Television shows with desirable demographics (18-34 year olds) can demand higher prices for 30-second ad spots than shows that may very well have many millions of more viewers.”

Heisler writes, “Similarly, developers don’t always focus their efforts on the platform with the most users. Rather, they’re interested in the platform that can yield them the highest return on their investment. So much like advertisers covet particular demographics with respect to TV viewers, developers seem to place a premium on iOS users as opposed Android because they spend significantly more money on mobile apps.”

Heisler writes, “The takeaway here is that Android is not a monolith, and the installed base of Android users Google likes to trot out encompass a wide range of phones with varying screen sizes, processing capabilities, and features. In Google’s zeal to increase Android’s reach and make it all the more appealing for developers, they are actually achieving the opposite.”

Tons more in the full article – highly recommended – here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Fred Mertz” for the heads up.]

Related articles:
Apps for Google Android make only 24% as much as same apps for Apple iOS devices – December 13, 2011
Eric Schmidt: Google’s Android to top Apple’s iOS among developers within 6 months – December 7, 2011
Apple’s iOS app downloads per user outpace Android’s 2-to-1 – October 25, 2011
Why Google’s Android is doomed – September 23, 2011
Android apps much less profitable than iPhone apps – September 9, 2011
Why iOS development is winning – August 5, 2011
Verizon iPhone and iPad 2 cause Google’s Android to lose developer support to Apple’s iOS – July 14, 2011
Apple iOS users buy 61% more apps, pay 14% more per app – June 11, 2011
Starbucks exec: Android apps often ‘watered down’ – May 16, 2011

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