“It’s only a tiny sample, so large conclusions must not be drawn,” Philip Elmer-DeWitt reports for Fortune. “But the survey results reported in Gene Munster’s note to Piper Jaffray clients Monday suggest that the pent-up demand for Apple’s next iPhone could be even stronger than suspected.”
“In a survey of 216 mobile phone users conducted one recent week in Minneapolis… Munster found evidence that the iPhone’s market share could by his estimate double in the next round of smartphone purchases,” P.E.D. reports. “Specifically he found: Among all respondents 64% indicated that they plan to buy an iPhone when they purchase a new phone.”
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P.E.D. reports, “Among existing iPhone users, 94% expect to buy another iPhone (6% expect to switch to Android). Among existing Android users 47% expect to buy another Android smartphone (42% expect to switch to iPhone).”
Read more in the full article here.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Fred Mertz” for the heads up.]
yowsa, that’s gonna leave a mark.
Do we tend to say yowsa?
Yikes!
Egads!
Yoiks, and away!
1
Shazam!
Zoinks!
No surprise there……
… how is Android going to pass the iPhone in 2012 (or was that 2013?) if people don’t repeat their (Android) purchasing decisions? I’m sorry, but the math is getting way to complex for me, here … maybe it’s “marketing math”, not “real-world math” that’s predicting that Android will eventually edge into the winner’s column.
As Steve Jobs runs away from any stigma attached to an iPhone version (antennae non-issue with iPhone 4) iPhone 5 should kick Android ass as a result with a phone free from controversy. Also enough time has gone by to show that Android is not for the vast majority (who want a life) and only hack-minded tech geeks hell bent on only using Craptology. I’m surprised they also aren’t building the phones from scratch themselves. You can have it!!
Don’t hold your breath. After the iPhone 5 launches, I give it 3 days before we hear an antenna story.
Yeah, some dipstick will complain that it doesn’t work inside his steel utility shed on his property in the boonies. Further, he suffered a disfiguring injury inside that shed while juggling chainsaws, and the inability to call for help has left him permanently traumatized. It’s all Apple’s fault and he’s going to sue! (Never mind that being in the boonies, no phone ever made would ever get signal, even standing on the roof of said shed.)
Have original iTouch, Driod and iPhone 4; all working. I use the Android for reading MacDailey because of variable font size.
Sorry to have to point it out but there is no such thing as an ‘iTouch’. It is called an iPod Touch.
What’s an iTouch?
It’s silly, but saying “iTouch” instead of “iPod touch” kind of annoys me.
MDN seems to have drilled into me (via their ‘sic’ stampings etc.) such that, I now tend to read the blogs/news articles that correctly identifies the product as ‘iPod touch’ as opposed to ‘iPod Touch’, with a more positive mindset.
Yeah, but my wife and kids have said iTouch since it was first released and I have pretty much decided that it is pointless to keep on correcting them. Besides, iPod touch is a bit unwieldy to say. A lot of people shorten it to just “touch.”
Also must point out that there is no such thing as a Driod.
That’s Android’s auto correction. Same with “Dailey”. Probably his nick is Mac which was corrected into Mack.
Isn’t the point of a smartphone that it combines multiple devices (phone, iPod, camera) in one small package? So what kind of idiot carries around two phones (including an iPhone 4), AND an iPod?
Haha I actually have an iPhone 4 and a next gen iPod touch because I like playing games while I watch videos and movies with my iPad also streaming shouttcast radio (: if apple makes it the only idiots are those that do not use it
216 is a small survey group
To Peter Blood’s suggestion about the basement geeks building their own Android phones, could this be the revival of Heath Kits? Heathdroids!
Opps. Have original iPod Touch, Driod and iPhone 4; all working. I use the Android for reading MacDailey because of variable font size.
Sorry to have to point it out but there is no such thing as MacDailey. It is called MacDailyNews.
MDN is also acceptable.
“MacDailey”? I thought that was Chicago mayor going for the Scottish vote. He calls himself McDailey when going for the Irish vote. Then I remembered he spells it just plain “Daley”.
(And yes, I know they are no longer the mayor. But after so many years, finding out they aren’t might come as a surprise to some.)
“(6% expect to switch to Android)”
This only proves chronic drug abuse is still a problem in the USA.
No wonder the country is in a tail spin to destruction when so many (6%) can not think clearly and make bad choices that ultimately bring pain on themselves.
I lol’ed
Actualy Android has several features that the iPhone 4 doesn’t have. When I pointed them out MacDailey deleted my comments.
I hate censorship! I posted on a Android site about details that Android was missing and they deleted my comments…..
🙂
Could it possibly be because you misspelt “MacDaily”…?
As an Android phone owner myself, I can attest to that. I can also attest to the fact that my 2005 Sony Ericsson dumbphone also had several features that the original iPhone (as well as the iPhone 4) didn’t have (such as an FM radio, or a memory card slot, among others). Anyone with half a brain will know that a bullet-point feature list is meaningless without context.
None of those features that an Android phone may have (that may be missing on an iPhone) really matter much, considering the overall incompleteness, instability and complexity of Android compared to iOS. If an average iOS user uses 95% of his phone’s features, and Android user only uses 30%, what good does it do for Android that it has a few more features than an iPhone, if nobody bothers using any of them?
It doesn’t matter unless Apple plans to bring the iPhone 5 to Sprint and T-Mobile, no longer surrendering about 25% of the market to Android. Only then will the impact be monumental.
There isn’t a dark corner in the world where Android should be allowed to hide.
Considering the rate at which Sprint and T-Mobile are hemorrhaging subscribers, it is clear that Apple is NOT surrendering any meaningful percentage of the market to anyone; not even in the US. And considering that it is Sprint (and T-Mobile), there are hardly any people in the US who would rather get an Android phone and stay on Sprint (or T-Mobile) than switch to AT&T or Verizion for an iPhone. The number of such US customers most certainly doesn’t reach anyhere near 25%. If I were to pull number out of thin air, I would say no more than 3 – 5% of US mobile customers refuse to abandon Sprint (or T-Mobile), not even for an iPhone.
In my case, my reason for having an Android and not an iPhone is because of the carriers’ pricing. My phone is a cheap (and moderately crappy) LG Optimus V (on Virgin Mobile), with a $25 per month plan (all text, all data plus 300 voice mins). The upfront price of my phone was $150 (no contract, no subsidy, full price). Compared to that, an iPhone costs $200 (not a full price; just a down-payment, with subsequent monthly installments), plus minimum of about $60 (with fees, surcharges, taxes), but nowhere near as much data, and no texts. Right now, I simply don’t want to spent that much money on my mobile telephony. There may be other reasons why people don’t have iPhones, but I’m sure that Sprint/T-Mobile loyalty is very rarely the sole (or even main) reason.
No, what Apple is surrendering is meaningful competition on price. Having the iPhone on Sprint and T-mobile (and the bottom feeders) will help us all by keeping prices down.
According to CNN Money in March 2011 the carrier market share in the USA was:
31.3% Verzion
26.6% AT&T
16.1% Sprint
12.2% T-mobile
6.0% Trac Phone
2.8% MetroPCS
2.2% U.S. Cellular
1.8% Cricket
1.0% Other
Given the size of the market, not even Cricket’s market share is anything to be sneezed at.
You argue my point here. Even if Apple made an agreement with Sprint (and T-Mobile, should AT&T deal fail), there would be a minimal change in numbers (assuming plan and device pricing remains same or similar). Neither Sprint nor T-Mobile are known for customer loyalty. Their customers are already leaving for iPhone in large numbers, regardless of their plan offerings. As I said, the number of T-Mobile and Sprint customers that are so loyal that they would rather buy an Android device than switch for an iPhone is minimal (certainly nowhere near 25%, as suggested by R2).
As for the low-cost pre-paid offerings by Cricket, Boost, MetroPCS, Trac Phone, Virgin Mobile and others, Apple simply does NOT play in the bargain basement market space. They never did in their Mac business, nor did they so far in their iPhone business (nor with the iPod either). I can’t possibly see them entering that segment anytime soon.
I just flat out disagree. Unless the iPhone is on the verge of putting Sprint and T-Mobile out of business anytime soon, it’s a customer base of millions that Android has all to itself. That’s unacceptable.
You made the same case for years against the Verizon iPhone, claiming it unnecessary since AT&T would pull those customers away, and you were dead wrong then as well. It’s your thinking that led to the explosion of Android in the first place.
Apple themselves will prove they disagree when they begin offering the iPhone on Sprint and/or T-Mobile.
That is simply not quite true. What I had claimed earlier was that the number of people who cling to Verizon (potential customers whom Android had to itself) was not large enough to make it worthwhile. I did, however, always acknowledge the fierce loyalty among Verizon users, though.
Such loyalty simply does NOT exist among Sprint and T-Mobile users. There may be a few corporate customers who don’t have the flexibility to move, and a few who don’t have the necessary coverage by AT&T or Verizon, but there are significantly fewer people who are as loyal to these two as there are (and were) loyal Verizon customers.
It is entirely possible (and even somewhat likely) that Apple may make iPhone available on Sprint (same CDMA technology as Verizon) and T-Mobile. It likely doesn’t cost much to develop a GSM phone that will work on T-Mobile’s 3G frequencies. I am convinced, though, that the increase in sales numbers on Sprint/T-Mobile won’t be nearly as noticeable as it was with Verizon.
And let’s not forget one more important bit: Apple can’t build iPhones fast enough; they are selling every single one of them. Unless that changes, opening up one more possible market segment in the US (even if it is as tiny as I claim it is, an especially if it is as large as you argue) is going to make the situation worse for everyone.
I have a friend who thinks she might NOT wait for the iPhone 5 to come out to buy her first iPhone. She may go android again, and wanted me to tell her all the benefits of an Apple. Geezuz… If you need a hand to hold….. If you want the best, get the best. If you want the rest, get an an android… I don’t have time for this…
One that iPhone doesn’t yet have is LTE. May not mean much yet but it could in the future.
LTE coverage is increasing. When the new power-efficient LTE chipsets are released in volume, Apple will incorporate that functionality in the iPhone.
Unlike the Android crowd, Apple avoided jumping on the LTE bandwagon early just to score points. Much like the iPhone EDGE to 3G transition, Apple is willing to wait despite media/pundit pressure and ridicule. Hopefully the upcoming iPhone 5 will include LTE functionality.
Whoever wants to go down the Andrain, let them.
The Android/Google/Facebook commerce model is this:
1. Get market Share. Don’t worry about actually improving your product/service, innovation, or any of that other crap
2. Get market share. Don’t waste time thinking about whether your “innovation” is actually useful for humanity, or a hindrance/invasion of privacy and safety
3. Get market share. Increase the size of the flock.
4. After items 1-3 are accomplished, PASTE TACKY OBTRUSIVE ADVERTISING ALL OVER THE PLACE.