“And we have a hat trick!” Mike Schuster reports for Minyanville. “After Dell’s global head of marketing Andy Lark used fuzzy math to say iPad will fail, after HP’s European head Eric Cador said the HP TouchPad will be “number one plus,” we have Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen saying the Apple iPad will eventually fall to Android in the near future.”
“Sitting down with tech curmudgeon Walt Mossberg at the All Things Digital D9 conference… things got a little heated when Mossberg addressed Cupertino’s refusal to run Adobe’s Flash platform on iOS devices,” Schuster reports. “Narayen responded: ‘There are a lot of misperceptions out there. When it first broke, people talked about the fact that they thought it was a technology issue, and I think it’s become fairly clear over the last year that it’s not about the technology: It’s about a business model issue. It’s about control of a platform. It’s the control of the app store that’s really at issue here. The value proposition Flash has is that we allow people to author programs once and get them to as many devices as possible. We’ve done that with Android. We will have 130 million phone devices that will have Flash on them by the end of the year.'”
Schuster reports, “Mossberg then took the wind out of the CEO’s sails by saying, ‘And I have yet to test a single one where Flash works really well. I’m sorry. They struggle on those Android devices.'”
MacDailyNews Take: Note to lesser tech CEOs: When being interviewed by Mossberg, wear a cup.
Schuster reports, “He sees the future of the iPad’s competitors to closely follow the trajectory of iPhone competitors. ‘What you saw with smartphones hitting an inflection point with Android, you’ll see it again with tablets,’ Narayen said.”
MacDailyNews Take: Disregarding major differences, such as requiring a carrier or not, is not conducive to making sound predictions, Flash-boy.
Schuster reports, “Looking at the numbers now, the iPad is so far in the lead. As of last month, Apple’s tablet had an 82% market share. Its closest competitor was the Samsung Galaxy Tab with 4%, followed by the Dell Streak at 3% and the Motorola Xoom at 2%. That’s a long way to the top. Even iPad’s competitors have cut back on production — building fewer tablets than originally planned — something which J.P. Morgan analyst Mark Moskowitz called a ‘dose of reality.'”
“I’m not saying iPad won’t ever fall behind a glut of Android tablets, or even a single device,” Schuster writes. “But it’s difficult to envision a scenario when that’ll happen any time soon.”
Read more in the full article here.
MacDailyNews Take: Disregarding major differences, such as requiring a carrier or not, is not conductive to making sound predictions, Flash-boy.</blockquote
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader "Fred Mertz" and “sleiii” for the heads up.]