Bob Cringely is in full 2011 prediction mode and some of them, of course, involve Apple:
• The white iPhone IS the Verizon iPhone
• Apple’s Carolina strategy: Thin client computing networked out of the box. It’s the new MobileMe. Content creation will take place on solid state drive MacBooks/iMacs and content consumption will take place on iPads and iPhones.
• Apple buys Time Warner Cable
All of Cringely’s 2011 predictions (so far) are here.
Well, give him credit for not making meek, wussy predictions like “new MBP in 2011.”
As far as the how accurate his predictions are……
the reason for apple to buy time warner is to fight comcast.
Cringe.
That’s the only part of his name you need to know!
Why on earth would Apple buy something like that??
Such a great track record. Let’s review:
2006
• A huge expansion of .Mac to one TERABYTE per month of download capacity per user
• 2 new Intel Macs with huge plasma displays, but with keyboards and mice as options — literally big-screen TVs that just happen to be computers, too.
2007
• Apple releases iTV, a bunch of flat-panel MacTV’s that contain Mac Minis.
• The year the net crashed (in the USA). Video overwhelms the net and we all learn that the broadband ISPs have been selling us something they can’t really deliver.
2008
• Microsoft will indefinitely extend the life of Windows XP.
• Not only will Bill Gates be retiring from Microsoft in 2008, CEO Steve Ballmer will, too.
• Apple will introduce a subnotebook/tablet computer/media player
• Along the same lines look for OS X to bifurcate clearly into two lines — Mac OS X and plain OS X (for devices like the iPhone) with Apple licensing (non-Mac) OS X to a few companies, including Sony.
• Apple will build into some Macs support for the Windows API, allowing Mac and Windows apps to run side by side with no need for virtualization software except to run Linux.
2009
•The next Yahoo CEO will dismember the company and sell it piecemeal, made possible by the fact that only the Internet companies have much real cash. The Yahoo name will survive but the company will not.
* Intel will buy nVIDIA
@Bubbles: Cringley is not on crack. He’s on hallucinogens. Syd Barrett triposaurus. Tripping out man. Gotta lay off that stuff and get your head together. Come back to Earth. Get a job.
Thin client computing only works when all users are on the network at a decent bandwidth. That so does not describe most of the geographical US. A pretty substantial portion of the population may be covered, but a lot of ground is not. Will Apple eschew serving those dispersed citizens of the hinterlands?
TW Service is just rubbish. I had no choice in NYC for many years and I jumped to FIOD 6 months ago and I love it. Why would Apple with the best customer service buy a company that has a very crappy customer service is part of the culture? PLEASE NO
I would love it if Apple starts to create it’s own content and create iTunes iChannels. I use NetFlix but finding shows is so long winded, Apple can do so much better.
what is this? I know Apple has made tons of profit. but come on. it won’t happen. it is more likely if MS would have a plan. not Apple, man. I don’t want CNN to be a part of damn Apple. who is this guy to write this kind of shit? just don’t make assumption, or trouble, will you? leave them alone. they know better than you idiot.
They could I guess.
A dysfunctional company can almost never be turned around, because it’s the internal, ingrained culture which makes it that way.
Apple forges its own path, and would never be sucked into the nightmare of trying to do the impossible.
Cringely, Cringingly wrong. Again.
@Foris sez: “A dysfunctional company can almost never be turned around, because it’s the internal, ingrained culture which makes it that way.”
‘Tis so. One thing Apple’s work culture points out is the value of historical precedence. Apple was founded and run for years as an innovative, entrepreneurial culture company. That spirit stuck with them, if only down in the guts of the company employees, all through the dire Marketing-As-Management era that started the day Sculley was hired. Consistently there was always something remarkable going on at Apple.
Similar to Apple’s history is Sony’s and Adobe’s. I could see them climbing out of their current Marketing-As-Managment hell with a sufficient evisceration of their current leadership replaced with a return to entrepreneurial leadership catalyzed by their historical precedence.
Compare that to Microsoft where almost never was there any spirit of innovation. The entrepreneurial spirit was demented into an exploitation spirit: Exploitation of the innovative work of other companies and exploitation of their victim customers. This is what I call an ‘aberrant’ business model that works only while there are victims to parasitize and psychopathic executives and employees to perform the suction. Therefore, they don’t fit into the Entrepreneurial vs Marketing-As-Management cycle.
I believe most people find it difficult to comprehend the thought systems of psychopaths. Thus the consistent misrepresentation of Microsoft in the press, the misplaced loyalty to their bloodsucking and the fact that they have flourished in various computer markets despite their detrimental effect.
Microsoft is kind of like the TV show “V”. Notice how that lame plotted sci-fi monstrosity has been raised and reversioned from the dead, a zombie, and that this it is again popular. Perhaps it serves as an archetype representing a massive blind spot in human perception.
Or maybe I shouldn’t have eaten those mushrooms today.

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