“Apple’s Services revenue is projected to grow to $100 billion by 2023 according to a recent report by Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty,” Bluesea Research writes for Seeking Alpha. “Apple has reported $37 billion revenue in this segment in FY18. Tim Cook had set a target of doubling Services revenue from 2016 base by end of 2020. Apple will most likely reach this target sooner than estimated.”
“This should be bullish for the stock considering that Apple’s management will stop giving unit sales data and is trying to move Wall Street’s focus to Services instead of products,” Bluesea Research writes. “Currently, [the] Services segment makes only 14% of the total revenue base. As Apple diverts more resources to streaming content and new services, we should see the revenue share of this segment increase significantly.”
Despite nearly flat unit sales, “the overall user base of the company is still growing at a healthy pace. Tim Cook mentioned in the earnings that the company is seeing double-digit growth within installed base,” Bluesea Research writes. “One of the reasons behind stagnant unit sales and growth in installed base is that Apple devices enjoy a good resale value. Hence, the overall usage of the device increases substantially even if the new purchases are lower. Apple should be able to use this positive tailwind to build better Services growth…”
Read more in the full article here.
MacDailyNews Take: “Bu, bu, but UNIT SALES!” bleat the Wall Street analyst sheep. “We need our unit sales that no other tech company provides or has ever provided! Those unit sales are worth $300 billion in market value, dontcha know?!”
Idiots.
Whatever. We’ll gladly accept a nice AAPL discount sale that benefits not only smart investors but Apple’s buyback program as well. Tim Cook et al. are wise to clam up and let the manipulators and fools speciously talk down the stock in their fact-free echo chamber as loudly as possible before Apple reports all-time record holiday quarter earnings in January.
Eventually, the so-called analysts will wise up. As we all know, they’re always well behind the curve.
SEE ALSO:
The pessimism and hypocrisy surrounding Apple is endless – November 28, 2018
In the darkest hour of Apple’s ‘white-knuckle period,’ some investors are loving it – November 21, 2018
Poor news curation at Bloomberg, CNBC, Reuters created misleading iPhone supply chain panic – November 19, 2018
WSJ: Apple slashes production orders for all three new iPhone models – November 19, 2018
Misreading Apple’s supply chain and iPhone XR demand – November 15, 2018
Apple: Ignore the noise – November 14, 2018
Dialog Semi says not seeing hit to demand from Apple – November 14, 2018
Don’t panic about iPhone sales just yet – November 14, 2018
Apple stock: This is not a repeat of 2015-16 – November 14, 2018
iPhone XR production cuts not due to soft demand – analyst – November 10, 2018
Apple’s Asian suppliers fall on report of canceled iPhone XR production boost – November 6, 2018
Nikkei claims iPhone XR production cuts, Apple stock drops over 3% – November 5, 2018
Uh, yeah, about those iPhone X ‘concerns’ from analysts: Never mind – May 1, 2018
Apple beats Street with best Q2 ever – May 1, 2018
Apple’s iPhone X isn’t selling well – or is it? – April 21, 2018
Apple’s iPhone X to be discontinued this year, analyst claims – April 20, 2018
Morgan Stanley: Apple stock may fall on ‘materially’ weaker iPhone sales – April 20, 2018
Apple’s iPhone X made 5 times the profit of 600 Android OEMs combined – April 18, 2018
Apple’s iPhone captured 86% of global handset profits in Q417; iPhone X alone took 35% of global handset profits – April 17, 2018
Bernstein: Ams AG is biggest winner in Apple’s TrueDepth Camera system – April 10, 2018
Apple’s iPhone X is the UK’s most popular smartphone – April 9, 2018
Apple’s iPhone X sales continue to disappoint, some analysts say – March 22, 2018
Ignore the iPhone X naysayers – March 10, 2018
Will the naysayers admit they were wrong about Apple’s iPhone X? – February 5, 2018
Do iPhone X sales spell trouble for Apple? – January 30, 2018
Apple supplier says report of iPhone X production cuts was overstated – January 30, 2018
Another January, another misleading iPhone supply cuts story from Nikkei – January 29, 2018
Apple stock drops after Nikkei report of iPhone X production cut – January 29, 2018
Reports of Apple cutting iPhone X orders make no sense – January 2, 2018
Apple stock tumbles on one poorly-sourced report of low iPhone X demand – December 26, 2017
Apple and suppliers shares drop on report of weak iPhone X demand – December 26, 2017
Nikkei: Apple to decrease iPhone production 10% in first quarter of 2017 – December 30, 2016
Nikkei proclaims ‘iPhone 7’ Dead On Arrival; bemoans Apple’s ‘lack of innovation’ – May 12, 2016
Japan’s Nikkei, The Wall Street Journal blow it, get iPhone demand story all wrong – January 16, 2013
Did Apple reduce 4-inch Retina display orders due to improving yields? – January 15, 2013
Analysts: iPhone 5 demand ‘robust;’ ignore the non-news noise – January 15, 2013
Apple iPhone suppliers decline on report orders cut by 50% – January 15, 2013
Apple swoon erases $17 billion from stock market – January 14, 2013
Apple iPhone 5 production cut signaling a new product release? – January 14, 2013
Apple drops to 11-month low on old reports of component cuts – January 14, 2013
The strange math of Apple’s alleged massive iPhone 5 component cuts – January 14, 2013
UBS analysts: Apple iPhone component order reduction ‘old news’ – January 14, 2013
Apple pulls down U.S. futures – January 14, 2013
Apple shares drop below $500 after reported cuts in iPhone 5 parts orders – January 14, 2013
The only thing big investors ever care about is iPhone sales. And those sales had better start increasing. Most analysts and other talking heads say that Apple’s Services will be worthless unless increased iPhone sales go hand-in-hand. Forget used iPhones and the current user base. Jim Cramer was wasting his breath trying to convince fellow talking heads that Apple should have a higher P/E value than Clorox but that fell on deaf ears. Most analysts believe that without increased iPhone sales, Apple is finished as a company. As a shareholder, I find that rather discouraging. They even said that without more innovation, no one will be buying iPhones at those higher prices. Apple shareholders are facing a double-whammy as there are very few remaining believers in Apple.
I honestly don’t know what’s going to happen next quarterly report when the obsessive-compulsive investors don’t hear how many iPhones were sold. I’m definitely concerned about how their reaction will affect Apple stock. No one seems to ever believe what Tim Cook says so he might as well not say anything.
Most investors are stupid sheep. Mainstream stocks get torpedoed by moronic herd behavior.
Apple’s services business did $38B in FY 2018, so $100B by 2023 represents a 21% annual growth rate. Conservatively estimating that Apple’s services made $12B in profit in FY 2018 and assuming an earnings multiple of 40x on this profit (same as Google and Microsoft), Apple’s services business alone is worth $480B. So does that mean that the rest of Apple is only worth $400B or are Apple shares shamefully undervalued?