“The latest Fluent data suggests interest in the next iPhone 7 is muted in contrast to previous years, with only one in three existing users thinking its release is a big deal,” Jonny Evans writes for Computerworld. “All the same, Apple is attracting far more Android switchers than it is losing iPhone users.”
“Fluent believes 29 percent of all iPhone users will definitely buy a new phone this year, and while 87 percent of them will stick with Apple (21.8 million), 6 percent will switch to Android. This suggests that around 1.5 million US iPhone users will make this switch.,” Evans writes. “22 percent of Android users will ‘definitely’ upgrade their device this year, and while 76 percent of them will stick with that platform, 17 percent will switch to iPhone. This works out to mean 3.91 million Android users seem likely to switch to Apple’s new iPhone this year.”
“Overall it means for every iPhone user abandoning the platform, just over two Android users switch (or, conceivably, switch back) to iPhone. That this is the direction of travel is a positive outcome for Apple,” Evans writes. “Put all the data together and it suggests the company will sell at least 25 million new iPhones in the next 12-months in the US alone, which is a good business, if not record-breaking.”
Much more in the full article – recommended – here.
MacDailyNews Take: The tide is positive for iPhone. As the settlers awaken, Apple benefits.
Keep more great news pouring in MDN.
Great news?? This is good news for Tim Cook and I don’t like that at all! I can’t rag on Cook as much! My very being is all about putting down greatness I will never achieve being a total lifelong loser!
Bummer man. Oh well just for doofus old times sake:
Typical Tim Cook:
* Make money by gouging users with excellent products but high prices as I work my minimum wage job and exist as a nobody
* Make world class products everyone needs & asked for and I can’t afford anyway
* Don’t waste time listening to gay troll malcontents like me and smart folks here will eventually get the message that I’m a total idiot if they haven’t already
* Release software without my advice putting gay stuff in there
* Hire slackers for millions of dollars, which would be a natural job for me
* Make everything available in Rose Gold – my favorite color and accentuates my flaming gayhood
* Take my advice about buying worthless companies and turn them into worthless services then criticized by whiny worthless posters like me
* Tank AAPL to the tune of tens of billions, though making hundreds of billions while owning their stock is a total fantasy for me on my living wage
* Chase other companies that are actually innovating and improve on what they have
* Spend the majority of my time flittering around the Internet doing c*cks*cking and promoting extreme deviant gay behavior
* Rely on hyper ADD gay trolls like me to defriend you, because after all… I am one of them myself!
OK, good times. Please applaud my madness. I am one very sick kid.
1.5 million people. Abandoning iPhone for Android. That is quite a big number — an entire large city.
I would like to see this number in perspective; what does the trend line look like here? Is this number (more accurately, the percentage) growing or shrinking? In other words, as the years go by, is higher percentage of iPhone users jumping ship than before, or is it smaller, or is it steady? That would be much more meaningful to know.
That said, the bottom line remains unchanged: there is a stream of Android users graduating to iPhones. This only makes sense; people who initially bought a cheap smartphone went for Android, because they thought a $250 new Android is better than a 4-year old iPhone 5 for the same money. After experiencing the concept of a smartphone for a few years, they were ready to spend more and once their budget reached the iPhone territory, they jumped ship.
To put it another way: every single Android user who couldn’t afford a phone $400 or more had no choice but to settle for Android. And from among those, most who could afford more for their next phone picked the iPhone.
The steady stream of Android-to-iPhone migrants is a direct consequence of Apple’s not bothering to play in the sub-$400 market. Many of those who started there end up moving out, and once they do, there are welcoming, open hands of Apple.
How are people to judge whether they’re interested in the iPhone 7? From the jumbled mess of contradicting ‘leaks’, click-bait and FUD? This is ridiculous over-analyzing of the vaporous. (o_0)
As for Android switching to iPhone: Well of course! 😀
Even my son-in-law, a tech guy who works for Intel and has used an Android since day 1 is switching to the iPhone 7. While he likes the ability to fiddle with stuff on the Android, he like the Apple ecosystem even more.
There are probably a good number of switchers from Android but unfortunately the smartphone market is being swamped by consumers from poor nations like China and India. 99% of those people are buying Android smartphones based on their low cost and availability and Apple can’t do anything about it. It’s not a market that would really benefit Apple but the news media swears not having that market share is the ruination of Apple’s iPhone business.
If those analysts had any sense at all, they’d remember Nokia once practically owned the third-world cellphone business and it didn’t stop the company from collapsing. In the end, as Nokia’s high-end cellphone business slowed, it had to try to support all that low-priced junk and it couldn’t.
The news media and analysts are always saying stupid stuff like the Chinese or India consumer “prefers” such and such smartphone. BS! Those people buy what they can afford. Only jackasses assume there’s actually a preference of Android over iOS. If I buy a Toyota, they’d assume I prefer driving some Toyota over driving a Porsche. Well, then they’re stupid and wrong.
Even if Apple did sell low-priced smartphones, the haters would quickly condemn Apple over dropping ASPs, so Apple still wouldn’t win.
And there it is, in a nutshell.
Your Nokia example is perfect. And the fate can easily befall Samsung, and there isn’t much there to prevent it. With Xiaomi, Meizu, Blu and similar no-name Chinese makers, there is really nothing that can convince people that Samsung (or HTC, or LG, or any other more serious brand) are any better. When a new Android phone can be had for $50, that’s what poor people will buy. And there is simply no way Samsung can eek out any profit from a $50 phone.
When iPhone sales slow, analysts mistakenly conclude that iPhone users are switching to Android. When in fact, iPhone users are just waiting for the new one to come out.
Then when the new iPhone comes out, they get to write another story about the new breaking news in customer trends.
I am not clear on the statistics presented in the article. Of the Apple users definitely buying a new phone this year, “…87 percent of them will stick with Apple (21.8 million), 6 percent will switch to Android.” What are the other 7 percent doing? Switching to string and cans? What else is left? Blackberry and Windows Phones are practically nonexistent.
The stats are worthless.
First of all, applying the numbers to total Android users is absurd, as the survey probably targets white upper middle class Americans who change out their phones much more frequently than say Nepalese Sherpas or livers in the flood regions of New Orleans.
All should take from this is that among high-end smartphone users, Apple is more popular. This isn’t news. Androids, after all, suck bc all the OEMs that make them are the same ones that make shitty appliances that we all know stink on ice.