Fred Wilson: iPhone and iPad have been amazing, but Android will own the market in a few years

“My father in law and sister in law were over last night,” Fred Wilson, partner at Union Square Ventures, writes for A VC.

“I am getting more and more bullish on Android every day. I starting carrying an Android phone about a year ago. I made it my one and only phone over the summer. I absolutely love it,” Wilson writes. “My sister in law who is an iPhone user tried it out last night. She said “it lacks the fit and finish” of an iPhone. That is true.”

Wilson writes, “Windows lacked the fit and finish of the Macintosh. But it didn’t matter. Because there were hundreds of Windows machines whereas there was only a few variations of Macintosh, all controlled by the same company and priced at a premium.”

MacDailyNews Take: Understood, Fred, but where is the price premium in the smartphone market? Fred? Hellooo, Fred?

Wilson continues, “iPhone and iPad have been amazing products that have opened new markets. But I do not think they will own either market in a few years. Android will.”

MacDailyNews Take: Baseless theories do not generally lead to sound investments. Below a certain price point, even half off is negligible. iPhone starts at $99. You’re going to screw yourself for two years to save $50? It’s simply not the same as the PC market once was; price is meaningless in the iOS vs. also-rans competition. For more, please read: The iPhone is not the Mac, so stop trying to compare them – December 23, 2009)

Plus, anyone who ignores or discounts Apple’s patent infringement lawsuits over Android does so at their own risk.

Full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: iCal’ed for future use.

125 Comments

  1. Where does this guy get off predicting that products that lack the fit and finish of an iPhone will own the market?! That is crazy. Maybe if the prices for Android products were much cheaper but they are not.

  2. Where does this guy get off predicting that products that lack the fit and finish of an iPhone will own the market?! That is crazy. Maybe if the prices for Android products were much cheaper but they are not.

  3. I believe that Wilson understands that the Android phone “lacked the fit and finish” of the iPhone. So, why did he buy an Android. It reads like he is talking himself into the Android phone still. iPhone users tend to discuss things that can be improved but seldom wish are compare it to an Android.

    Buy the best. That is the only thing Apple wants to sell you. Android is 2nd best always compared to the best (the iPhone).

    An where are the Android iPad killers? Is it on the Big Ass Table next to the Zunes?

  4. I believe that Wilson understands that the Android phone “lacked the fit and finish” of the iPhone. So, why did he buy an Android. It reads like he is talking himself into the Android phone still. iPhone users tend to discuss things that can be improved but seldom wish are compare it to an Android.

    Buy the best. That is the only thing Apple wants to sell you. Android is 2nd best always compared to the best (the iPhone).

    An where are the Android iPad killers? Is it on the Big Ass Table next to the Zunes?

  5. Who knows how it will play out. No one has a reliable crystal sphere. It will be a first in marketing for a single device to own the market for ever. Inexpect android to over take ios butbthat won’t make it a better phone os or make apple any less profitable.

    Android will be for the robots, the free thinkers will alwaysbthink different.

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