“The desktop is dying. In 2008, desktops were tied with laptops in the market—about 45 percent of the PCs that American consumers purchased for personal use were desktops, about 45 percent were laptops, and the rest were netbooks and other mini computers, according to data from the market-research company Forrester,” Farhad Manjoo reports for Slate. “Last year, sales of laptops eclipsed sales of desktops for the first time. According to Forrester’s projections, the decline in desktop PC sales will continue unabated over the next five years… Amazingly, by 2015, desktops will constitute just 18 percent of the consumer PC market, if Forrester’s projections bear out.”
“The rise of netbooks and tablets proves that, for many tasks, consumers are OK with sacrificing power in favor of portability,” Manjoo reports. “What’s more, in the future much of the ‘power’ in our computers will come from the Internet… You might be skeptical that cloud-based systems will ever be able to match what a big, powerful computer on your desk can do. Perhaps they won’t. But that might not matter. The annals of tech are littered with ‘better’ things that we abandoned in favor of more convenient things. We dropped vinyl in favor of CDs, and then dropped CDs in favor of MP3s, even though each new technology offered lower audio fidelity than the previous one. In this way, the shift to portable machines fits larger social trends.”
Manjoo reports, “At the moment, our computing lives are too scattered. There is little continuity as you shift from a laptop to a tablet to a smartphone to a desktop; each device has different apps, access to different sets of data, and a different screen configurations… You can bet someone will figure this out soon. And when that happens, you’ll no longer think of any single computer as your ‘main’ computer. They’ll all be variations on the theme of your personal data. And none of them will be stuck to your desk.”
Read more in the full article, “Flight of the Desktops; Soon there will be no reason to have a big, boxy computer on your desk,” here.
[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “bugsbunny” for the heads up.]