Analyst: RIM overly attached to the past; fails to appreciate Apple’s revolutionary iPhone

Apple Online Store“Investors are conflicted about where Research In Motion Ltd. is going and what the shares of the BlackBerry maker are really worth,” Simon Avery reports for The Globe and Mail.

“Investors are much more aggressive in shorting RIM shares than those of its rivals, including Apple, Motorola Inc. and Nokia Corp.,” Avery reports. “One measurement traders use to assess sentiment on a stock is the short interest ratio, calculated by dividing shares sold short on expectation of lower prices by the average daily volume of a stock. For RIM this ratio is 8.2, for Nokia it’s 5.5, for Motorola 1.9 and for Apple, just 0.96.”

“Yesterday, Pierre Ferragu, a senior analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., published a detailed assessment of RIM’s future. In the short-term, he sees some upside for the stock, in part because of RIM’s international growth, and he raised his share profit estimate for the last quarter by a few cents (RIM reports March 31). But longer term, he says the company is overly attached to technical successes of the past as it designs its future products, and therefore likely to lose the advantage it’s held over rivals for the last decade,” Avery reports. “‘The breakthrough innovation of 10 years ago rarely makes the breakthrough innovation of today, and the company’s current strategy is too centred on leveraging in today’s changing environment what made BlackBerry so strong in the past,’ he wrote.”

Avery reports, “For RIM, the challenge is not just about building a browser and interface that matches Apple’s. As wireless traffic explodes by an expected 25-fold in the next four years, RIM will face significant increases in costs associated with running its NOC, Mr. Ferragu says, adding that RIM has not appreciated how much Apple has revolutionized mobile data with its iPhone.”

Full article here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “cptnkirk” for the heads up.]

16 Comments

  1. @NCG598
    If you truly are serious in what you say, one of two things are true.
    1. You have never even touched an iPhone.
    2. You have no idea what has been happening the last few years.

    One other possibility.
    You are a troll.

  2. I have an iPhone since day one. Stood in line just to tick off that idioit Steve Ballmer. I was as red as he was when he seen the sales results. Although, I was sun burned my the Manhattan Beach sun!

    No troll!

  3. A better metaphor is that the iPhone is the METEOR smashing into the planet of the Dinosaur Blackberries and there will be no evolution happening at all – you can’t evolve when you’re ON FIRE and being smashed to pieces…

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