Don’t hold your breath for Google’s Android to match Apple’s iPhone

“Anyone expecting the Google mobile operating system to change the market as Apple’s iPhone has over the past year will probably be disappointed – for now,” Yinka Adegoke reports for Reuters.

“Industry insiders who have worked on Google’s Android system say it will struggle in the near term to match the consumer enthusiasm generated by the iPhone, which redefined the touch-screen phone market and greatly improved mobile Web surfing,” Adegoke reports.

“These things take time, and the first phone using Android, code-named the Google ‘Dream’ phone, is unlikely to wow consumers. The device is made by HTC of Taiwan. Deutsche Telekom’s T-Mobile unit reportedly intends to introduce it in New York on Tuesday,” Adegoke reports. ‘I’m not sure the consumer experience is significantly better than that of the iPhone,’ said Rajeev Chand, a wireless analyst at the investment bank Rutberg, who has tried out an early version of Android. ‘When the iPhone came out, the experience was several orders of magnitude better than anything that was out there.'”

MacDailyNews Take: Because everything Google has done with Android to date has been derivative of the iPhone. Note to Google: Microsoft’s upside-down and backwards fake Mac worked because Macs were markedly more expensive; people who couldn’t afford them still wanted something remotely resembling a Mac-like experience on their consumer-grade PCs. Microsoft also had the one-time luxury of a poorly written contract signed by an unprepared sugared water salesbozo which allowed them to poorly rip-off Apple’s Mac ad infinitum. Apple’s iPhone starts at just $199 and Apple has over 200 iPhone-related patents that Steve Jobs has publicly-stated Apple will vigorously defend.

Adegoke continues, “While Android could offer real promise in terms of technology and usability it is unlikely by itself to change the restrictive nature of the mobile industry, said John Poisson, founder of Tiny Pictures, a developer partner of Android. ‘Carriers in each market will still control how it gets implemented and on which devices and in which form,’ Poisson said. ‘Android lives and breathes at the pleasure of the operator.'”

Adegoke reports, “Google is hoping to generate revenue through its existing search advertising and related services by the addition of mobile to PC. ‘Google’s power comes from the freedom of choice, in terms of the component technology and services that can be laid on top,’ said Cheng Wu, founder of Azuki Systems, a mobile Web technology company. ‘The only thing they want to control is the kernel of the operating system and the ability to data-mine for search and advertising down the road.'”

Full article here.

MacDailyNews Take: In an interview early this year, Apple CEO Steve Jobs was said to be “skeptical about Google’s decision to develop smartphone software… ‘Having created a phone its a lot harder than it looks,’ he said. ‘We’ll see how good their software is and we’ll see how consumers like it and how quickly it is adopted.’ In seeking not to get locked out of the mobile phone world, ‘I actually think Google has achieved their goal without Android, and I now think Android hurts them more than it helps them. It’s just going to divide them and people who want to be their partners.'” – The New York Times, January 15, 2008


  1. Android will be used to replace WinMo CE by OEM’s that don’t want to be at the mercy of MS’s crappy OS, but it will take about 2-3 more years for Google to get anywhere near what Apple is doing *now*…

    by then, Apple will have pushed the puck into the goal. Thanx 4 playing.

  2. If it includes a data-miner (think spyware) to clog their data service with unneaded traffic, the providers will discourage the phone’s purchase. These are the same groups that crippled mobile internet, by discouraging the production of phones with full browsers included.

  3. “These things [i.e. the ability to impress consumers with a product] take time, and the first phone using Android, code-named the Google ‘Dream’ phone, is unlikely to wow consumers.”

    Just curious… How much time did “these things” take for iPhone? Anyone?

  4. Since I’ve had nothing but issues in the past with AT&T;and as a current T-Mobile user, I can’t wait to check it out knowing full well I will be wishing it was an iPhone. But until iPhone is available on T-Mobile(USA)’s network, I am going to try the ‘roids. So no I won’t be wowed.

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