“‘Change is the only constant’ is a favorite cliché among technology types. But for an industry that loves to talk about change, its leading lights don’t do too much of it, at least not when it comes to turning over control of their companies. Apple, Dell, Microsoft and Oracle are all run by the guys who founded them back in the 1970s and 1980s,” Daniel “Fake Steve Jobs” Lyons writes for Forbes.
“But soon those leaders will move on. First to go is Bill Gates, who on June 27 stepped aside at Microsoft. Next, I’d wager, will be Steve Jobs, for health reasons. Jobs, 53, underwent surgery for pancreatic cancer in 2004 and lately has been looking unwell. Apple p.r. folks claim he’s fine,” Lyons writes. “Apple p.r. is known for having a Clintonesque relationship to the truth. If Jobso is still running Apple at year-end, I’ll be shocked.”
MacDailyNews Take: iCal’ed.
Lyons continues, “For Apple, expect a 30% drop in the stock price on the day the news breaks, followed by a period of disarray and confusion. Apple has strong managers. These guys (and yes, they’re all guys) are smart and experienced. But Apple has recklessly avoided setting in place a succession plan. Who will take over? Timothy Cook, the chief operating officer, who ran the company when Jobs was on sick leave in 2004? Jon Ive, the head of design? Both are bright. But Steve Jobs is beyond bright. He’s one of a kind. The sad truth is this: Without Jobs, Apple will never be the same.”
“For Microsoft the loss of Gates won’t be nearly as profound. Gates narrowed his involvement at the company eight years ago when he gave the chief executive job to his college buddy and right-hand man, Steve Ballmer… Under Ballmer, Microsoft is enduring one of the worst times in its history… Considering how bad things have been lately, you might almost argue that Gates’ departure could be a boon, a chance for some fresh thinking,” Lyons writes. “Except look who he’s left in charge.”
Lyons writes, “I think Microsoft will play defense from here on out. Its army of M.B.A.s will milk the monstrous franchise around Windows and Office for all it’s worth and try to cushion a decline in originality and create a soft landing.”
Full article here.
MacDailyNews Take: In order for Microsoft to experience a decline in originality, Dan, they’d have to have had some originality in the first place.