Apple’s next-gen iPhone to be offered unlocked, even in U.S.?

“AT&T may have dropped hints about Apple’s plan for the iPhone this summer, based on a report in Fortune. If you buy a next-generation, 3G-capable iPhone with a two-year AT&T Wireless contract, AT&T will take $200 off the sticker price,” Anders Bylund writes for The Motley Fool.

“If Fortune’s sources turn out to be right, it’s a rather audacious grab for market share from old Ma Bell. The discount would not apply if you bought the phone at an Apple store, so the telecom would effectively steal some retail sales from the very partner that supplies the hot product in the first place,” Bylund writes.

“Now, the current iPhone already sells out about as fast as Apple’s manufacturing partners can make ’em. We’ve even seen outright shortages… which tells me that AT&T shouldn’t need to lower prices at all,” Bylund writes.

“Unless, of course, the next iteration would be sold through multiple carriers,” Bylund writes.

Full article here.

Nobody outside of Apple and AT&T (and their lawyers) know for sure what their U.S. iPhone agreement stipulates. Imagine if it only really covered the first year and/or the first-generation iPhone (multi-year deal, but for the original iPhone only). Then, with the debut of the next-gen iPhone, it would make perfect sense for AT&T to want to begin subsidizing it. But, what would preclude others (Verizon, etc.) from doing the same (or better) subsidies?

40 Comments

  1. I believe that AT&T;and Apple will amicably terminate there deal if Apple drops any subscription fees it gets from AT&T;. Think about it for a moment. Countless rumors from Belgium to Australia (and even Canada) have turned up regarding an unlocked iPhone.

    It appears Apple wants to sell unlocked iPhones globally. It is possible that, due to potential revenues from the forthcoming Apps Store, Apple believe it can earn more revenue through Apps distribution on tens of millions of iPhones rather than subscription + Apps store on 6-7 million. Current hacked/Jail-broken phones would not work on the Apps store.

    I do think we will see iPhone unlocked by Apple worldwide in June. Think of how many they would sell?!!?!?! Let’s look at chine with 370 million subscribers. What’s that? The entire population of the US? Then throw in another 50m in Mexico, 50m in Japan, 60m in India, 35m in Italy, 23m in Spain….

    I think its a foregone conclusion we will see Apple unleash an unlocked 3G GPS iPhone with Video/Text/Audio Conferencing through iChat. The adoption rate of the iPhone combined with iChat will = Consumer and Enterprise adoption unseen before.

  2. To me, the story here is that it’s a shame that AT&T;can’t win customers on its own merit. And, of course, that is because they suck. Any increase in customer base that AT&T;has culled over the past year has been due in large part to the iPhone. And what really sucks is that I’m sure AT&T;knows this and doesn’t care. They’re perfectly content to let Apple do all the heavy lifting in terms of bringing new service contracts to the table.

  3. It would make sense to it. AT&T;isn’t all that bad. I have yet to have any issues with them. Plus, the hidden cost with ALL phones is that you have to sign a service agreement. So, if you want to use an iPhone on Verizon, sure, you can do it for $400, but if you buy it from AT&T;and sign a 2 year agreement, you can get it for $200, plus you get their visual voice mail and stuff.

  4. I love iPhone speculation. It’s so entertaining watching everyone guess what Apple is doing and how they are going to do it.
    The Fact is no one outside of Apple and AT&T;in the US knows. Does Apple get revenue sharing? and if so, how much? What are the terms of the exclusive AT&T;iPhone deal?
    There are lots and lots of guesses but no one on the outside really knows.
    If I were to predict I predict that there is not enough reliable information out there to make a predication at all.

  5. @Steve

    I agree about the GSM thing. Isn’t T-Mobile the only other provider with GSM in the US? That doesn’t help me at all here where I live, because we’re dominated by a bunch of CDMA carriers — particularly Alltel.

    Maybe the next gen iPhone will have this capability, too, or as an option. I’d love it. I’d also pay a good $500 for it, with or without visual voicemail.

    If not, I’m going to get a second gen Touch and pretend to make phone calls with it. This old 20-gig 4th gen iPod doesn’t get me chics anymore (which is probably a good thing, my wife of seven years would say)

    BTW, I was just kidding about pretending to make calls with the Touch . . .

  6. Perhaps the discount will be for the original iPhone while the new 3G model will come in at the current $400. AT&T;continues to sell the old model at a low price point, thus gaining new customers, and Apple sells an unlocked 3G to all carriers.

  7. That’s true, but an unlocked iPhone will be veeeery expensive.
    Apple and all the carrier who signed the exclusivity deal will share this extra profit. That’s how Apple and AT&T;will agree amicabily to re-shuffle their deal.

Reader Feedback

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.