“Will Apple surprise everyone with an earlier-than-expected debut of the next generation iPhone?” Eric Savitz asks via his Barron’s blog.
“Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster raised that possibility today. He writes in a research note that calls today to 20 Apple retail stores nationwide found none of them had iPhones in stock. He also notes the lead time for phones ordered on Apple.com stands at 5-7 days,” Savitz reports.
“Munster figures there is an 80% chance that a new iPhone is coming earlier than expected; he sees a 20% chance that there is a production or manufacturing issue with the phone,” Savitz reports.
More in the full article here.
Apple is probably working hard to make the iPhone look like the new offerings from Samsung, Garmin, Nokia, Rimm, etc. Oh wait, those phones might just be trying to look like the Apple version.
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Come on iPhone update! Before May 2nd please! Gonna be switching over to AT&T;then!
I really don’t like April Fools day, I don’t know what to believe in that day.. 🙁
Don’t these device require FCC approval? Isn’t that part of the reason the iPhone was shown six months before it went on sale? Is it possible for Apple to spring a “surprise” new 3G iPhone on us? Just wondering.
The first iPhone needed FCC approval. Subsequent, derivative iPhones do not.
Perhaps since it is derivative of the first iPhone, it does not require the same FCC compliance?
God, I hope so. My Nokia has been crapping out lately and not alerting me when I get texts or voicemails. I’d been hoping to hold out until the new iPhone in June but it’s getting seriously annoying. I actually looked at my AT&T;account today about upgrading now and then selling it when the new one comes out.
Also thought it was weird that the Apple Store had 5-7 days on shipping for both models.
“Don’t these device require FCC approval? Isn’t that part of the reason the iPhone was shown six months before it went on sale?”
In theory.
First, you can file a confidentiality request to keep most of the information out of the public eye up. Confidentiality requests are good for 45 days (but can be extended up to 180 days). Second, the other trick used is to create a dummy company to seek approval. When the approval is granted, the dummy company is purchased by the parent company.
It makes sense as there are different interpretations as to how many phones Apple is expected to sell in 2008.
If they are expecting to sell 10 million in 2008 then they need to get it going. If they mean 10 million since it’s debut to the end of 2008 then they may not be sweating it.
what the hell does “expected” mean?
Apple never released ANY information about when it could release a 3G iphone so expected is based on NOTHING. I expect it to be released today. welp i guess this guy is wrong since its not released today.
Stupid, pointless, and factless.
lets all make stuff up.
“Based on recent speculation it is logical to assume that Apple is going to release a 20-core CPU based computer as some point in time in the future. Currently there is a 87.4% chance this will be released in a few years, and a 12.6% chance it will be release in a bunch of years.”
Stop with this crap already!!! Is this an April fool’s joke or not??
Let me know k? Cause I would like to know if I need to find a defribulator. 🙁
Were Apple able to circumvent new FCC approval for a refresh, if this were to be based on the same chipset/internals as the Gen 1 phone, (which I’m not inclined to believe), it would mean no 3G in this revision.
I’m not inclined to think that even Apple is above the FCC, so I think we’ve still got a few months before a refresh. One possibility to avoid a complete freeze on current iPhone sales would be for Apple to simultaneously cut the price on the base-line model iPhone, $199? And announce the $499 new top-of-the-line, 3G, video phone enable, etc etc etc model will be available in 3 months. Run the stock and only those really sold on the higher functions will be inclined to wait.
Not living in the USA the FCC means little to me, but is it the whole device that needs approved or just the circuitry that does the broadcasting and reception? If so could an already approved circuit be used and not require further approval?
I would be highly interested in the math behind Gene Munster’s assertion regarding the 20% chance of “production or manufacturing issue with the phone.”
I think it is supply and demand. People are getting their income tax refunds. I know a few who bought an iPhone with theirs.
No new iPhone until June. Sorry folks.
Although, I hope I am wrong.
@BacMook
Just the broadcasting elements
they will release a new iPhone next tuesday, one day after the return period for my new iPhone is up.
believe it.
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Viktor
I don’t believe you…..
Bob
I don’t believe you.
All phones need FCC approval.
@Viktor
Same hear, but hopefully it’s true.
Here’s what is going to happen. Apple will not deliver the new iPhones until the fall. And despite the fact that Apple made no public announcements or promises, the pundits will spend the next four months criticizing Apple for being “overdue”, “late”, “tardy”, “incompetent”, etc. for their “failure” to deliver the iPhone on time. Sigh.
Or maybe just the current models sell like hot cakes and Apple cannot keep up with the ever increasing demand.
And if this turns out to be true… anyone interested in buying 8G iPhone in good condition?
It will all happen in a nice neat June event with the opening of the App Store and Firmware 2.0 and the non-beta SDK, and a bunch of cool applications.
A big song and dance that will get plastered in newspapers, magazines and Tech Blogs everywhere.
One Big Blast, rather than trickling out bits and pieces.
No point releasing the Phone with a promise of Cool Things in a month or two. That’s never impressive.