“In my October 10, 2006 preview I predicted that Apple would ship 1.64 million Macintosh computers during the 2006 fiscal fourth quarter. My analysis and projection was based on analyzing data from Apple’s Q1, Q2, and Q3 data for 2006, Macintosh releases during the year, and events that transpired during the fourth quarter,” Switch To A Mac writes.
“Be sure to read that article to see how I reached the 1.64 million number. My prediction exceeded the actual number by a mere 30,000 units as I over estimated portable (MacBook and MacBook Pro) units by 14,000 units and desktops (iMac, MacPro, Mac mini, and PowerMac) units by 16,000. The breakdown of portables and desktops were almost exactly on target,” STAM writes.
STAM writes, “What I’d like to point out is that my prediction was more accurate than those put forth by Wall Street analysts and investment firms. When taken together, they had a consensus estimate of 1.47 million Mac sold in the quarter. My prediction exceeded the actual number by only 1.9 percent. The consensus analyst estimate underestimated the number by 8.7 percent! It’s clear that those analysts missed the mark and they still don’t understand the shift in the mindset of purchasers. Perhaps today’s earnings will begin to open their eyes.”
Full article here.
Related MacDailyNews article:
Apple Q4 earnings results: $546M net profit on $4.84B revenue, sold 1.61M Macs, 8.729M iPods – October 18, 2006
Apple to announce sales of 1.64 million Macs for quarter? – October 10, 2006