Cringely: ‘I confidently predict that Microsoft is going down’ in Iowa anti-trust action

“There was a time when Paul Allen, not Bill Gates, was the boss at Microsoft,” Robert X. Cringely writes for PBS. “These roles changed over time, of course, and what clearly precipitated the change was Paul Allen’s health. He contracted Hodgkins Disease, a form of cancer, in 1982 when Allen was in charge of the development of MS-DOS 2.0, a complete rewrite of PC-DOS 1, which was itself mainly derived from Seattle Computer Products’ Quick and Dirty Operating System (QDOS) that Microsoft had acquired when Digital Research was unable to come to terms with IBM about using CP/M for the original PC. QDOS was simply not a very good product, and DOS 2.0 was intended to overcome the earlier products’ many problems. It would also eliminate that nascent rumor that QDOS was riddled with code ‘borrowed’ from CP/M.”

“So DOS 2.0 was the most important Microsoft product to date and vital to cementing the company’s relationship with its biggest customer, IBM. It was also by far the most complex product in Microsoft’s young history, which again is why Paul Allen was put in charge. As development continued, Allen’s health began to deteriorate, so much so that the IBM team was worried that Allen might not survive. ‘He looked like death,’ Sams told me. ‘But still they pushed him,'” Cringely writes. “In the Boys’ Club that was Microsoft in those days, maybe the concept of mortality was too abstract, maybe Allen’s poor health wasn’t as obvious to those around him every day as it was to the IBM team that visited from time to time. To his credit, Allen stayed long enough to finish the job, delivering DOS 2.0 then leaving the company forever, eventually to have a bone marrow transplant that cured him completely.”

“But during one of those last long nights of working to finish-up DOS 2.0, something happened. I have heard this story from two people, each of whom was a friend of Allen’s and in a position to know. Each told me the same story the same way. I am not staking my reputation on the accuracy of the story, but I am saying I have it from two good sources. Paul Allen certainly won’t confirm or deny it, so I’ll just throw it out for you to consider,” Cringely writes. “During one of those last long nights working to deliver DOS 2.0 in early 1983, I am told that Paul Allen heard Gates and Ballmer discussing his health and talking about how to get his Microsoft shares back if Allen were to die.”

“My reason for bringing up this topic at this time is because it will all shortly be back in the news as Microsoft goes to court later this year in what might well be its last-ever anti-trust trial. Remember those 19 states and the District of Columbia that settled over time for software vouchers and promises from Microsoft to no longer do evil? Well only Iowa remains, represented by a lady lawyer from Des Moines named Roxanne Conlin whom I have met. Roxanne is not in any way impressed with Microsoft vouchers, no matter how many there are. Looking for real money for the people of Iowa, Ms. Conlin is about to dredge-up all this old news and put a new spin on it,” Cringely writes. “Based purely on character (or lack of it), I confidently predict that Microsoft is going down. It should be interesting.”

Full article here.

[Thanks to MacDailyNews Reader “Pogo” for the heads up.]

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39 Comments

  1. Ah, Cringely and PBS… where innuendo and hearsay is news.

    This will surely be red meat for the fans, but I doubt that Allen overheard any such thing. Cringely has a habit of smearing someone and then saying, “I’m not staking my reputation on this, but…”

    I would, however, like to see M$’s feet held to the fire on this anti-trust case. They have been getting away with strong-arm tactics for many a year now.

  2. he still didn’t explain why paul allen and his self-removal from microsoft should make us believe that microsoft will loose this next court case.

    “My reason for bringing up this topic at this time is because it will all shortly be back in the news as Microsoft goes to court later this year in what might well be its last-ever anti-trust trial.”

    The only reason he brought this up is because other people are going to bring it up too?

  3. If what he says is true, those are some pretty low-brow, if not irrelevant, tactics the legal team wants to use. What Gates might have said in some back room somewhere unfortunately does not have any bearing on anticompetitive policies. The proof is in the company’s actions (which is pretty good proof).

  4. Cringley is often more or less correct in his predictions, but it is speculation based on very loose hearsay. It’s fun reading nonetheless and surely has to be taken as a bit tongue-in-cheek…

  5. “PBS… where innuendo and hearsay is news”

    Multiple surveys show that Americans trust PBS and NPR more than any other TV and radio news sources. Maybe if you actually spent time watching PBS instead of getting the anti-PBS spin from FNC and the rest of the right wing spin machine, you would know that. Instead of cheesy, garish graphics and swooshing SFX under every graphic you actually get the news and in greater depth.

    When the 2006 remedy to the current Republican Congress happens this November, maybe FNC can get out the sound of a broom. That’s right, the GOP is going to lose the House. At the rate ‘W’, Hastert, and Frist are going the Senate may be in reach. You heard it here first.

    The sad thing is that the cleanup behind ‘W’ and his cronies will take a generation.

  6. I love how people say things aren’t biased. Wait, people don’t, idiots do. I grew up in a house where the breadwinner was a news editor. Hence the overabundance of Macs in my life. I know that all news, no matter the source, is bent towards somebody’s agenda. Best thing to do? Don’t get your news from one source. Get it from many, and you’ll have a much clearer picture. Look murkier? That’s because it’s the truth, and sometimes it’s just too hard to believe.

  7. Actually the problem is that truth is seldom black and white while people not only want it to be, but either don’t have the capacity to see otherwise or an over capacity to see it the way their prejudice prefers.

  8. “And I love how NPR/PBS viewers claim that everything from FOX News is “biased” “hearsay” and “opinion”. Ummm…hello? Pot? Kettle?”

    Perhaps it is impossible to completely eliminate a person’s point of view from his or her reporting. And maybe NPR tends to have relatively liberal reporters and hosts. But there is no way NPR has a liberal *agenda* in the way Fox News has a conservative one. When do NPR hosts–not guests–ever push a point of view a la Brit Hume?

    Oh, and to “progeny”: I, Cringely is commentary, not “news.” Are you one of those idiots who writes to the newspaper complaining about bias in the editorials?

  9. You guys should just ignore these right wing comments. It’s not worth your energy. These sort of people won’t learn anytime soon. And you surely aren’t going to change their minds.

  10. Ah yes. Potshots at the press. Charming. The most naive and dangerous attitude is that “my news source, political party, president, etc., etc. is pure and noble and yours is eil incarnate.”

    I recommend a book titled “Tell the Truth and Run” by journalist George Seldes. It reveals why we should always distrust people in places of power and authority be they politician, pundit, or pope.

    I think it pays to be cynical and skeptical. History is replete with reason to be so.

    MW: take. They are all on the take.

  11. You guys should just ignore these left wing comments. It’s not worth your energy. These sort of people won’t learn anytime soon. And you surely aren’t going to change their minds.

    Back to the real topic of Cringely: It doesn’t make too much sense why he wrote this article. If it was intended to be a scoop regarding upcoming events, it was certainly not too clear on how this was going to bring MS down. If he was holding back more info while awaiting the case to begin, then why write it? If he wasn’t holding back, then there doesn’t seem to be enough here to bring MS down.

  12. RE: RE-Progeny

    “‘PBS… where innuendo and hearsay is news’

    Multiple surveys show that Americans trust PBS and NPR more than any other TV and radio news sources.”

    Just because people believe a thing does not make it true.

    Regarding Cringely, I must say that, while I definitely hope he’s correct, I don’t believe for one minute that MS is “going down” just because of some soap-operatic discussion Gates and Ballmer had over a decade and a-half ago. It’ll take a lot more than defamation of character to take down MS, and it’ll take a lot more than an Iowa legal team, and you can go to the bank on that. Worst case for MS from the great state of IA is, a healthy fine that will barely set MS back in any measurable way.

    Cringely’s comments did come as a bit of a surprise to me with the recent large underwriting given to PBS/NPR from MS – so rumor has it.

    I want MS nominalized in the software market place as badly as any-everybody, but there are no magic bullets here. MS is going to have to be beaten over and over and over again before they come anywhere near a fatal blow.

  13. >Multiple surveys show that Americans trust PBS and NPR more than any other TV and radio news sources. >

    Americans also trust Microsoft more than any other software company.

    PBS and NPR are sooo left wing that they think San-Fran-Freako is conservative.

    I rest my case.

  14. 1- The Current Head of PBS is a Republican Appointee.
    2- The Current Head of CPB (Corporation for Public Broadcasting) is also a Republican Appointee.
    3- The National Endowment for the Arts, US Department of Education, National Academy of Sciences and other major channels for public money into PBS & NPR are all under the appointment of ‘W’ and his Republican cronies on the hill.

    Now if the people in charge and those who hold the purse strings are all serving courtesy of ‘W’, Frist and Hastert, how would/could/should they be leftist? Only NeoCons eat their own.

    BTW FNC Fans, what you gonna do when Shepard Smith comes out of the closet

    http://washingtonblade.com/2005/10-21/view/editorial/come-out.cfm

  15. ok children, here’s the view from the center.

    Npr is left and pbs is left of center. Fox is right of center. CBS and NBC are left. MSNBC is left of center.

    All news shows are slanted one way or another, the comment above about getting your news from more that one source is the best mode of getting the truth.

    Interesting in the above quote by Progeny that he never mentioned that he listened to Fox news, just that his opinion of NPR and PBS wasn’t that good.

    So then Re-Progeny and the rest jump on Fox news. Listen… here’s a news flash for the left. FOX NEWS IS NOT THE FAR RIGHT! The sooner the left learns this and understands this, they will have a chance at winning back the country. Fox news is right of center, but not as much as the left likes to go on and on about. Rush Limbaugh is far right, but fox is left of him. Hannity and Colmes is the best left vs right show on tv today. The country has shifted right in the past decade, and the left has stayed left. The center is more conservative than it was 10 – 20 years ago and the only reason the left is on the outs is because they refused to moderate their far left wing and appeal to the reality of the new paradigm.

    It’s my observation that the far left hates fox news, and the far right hates CBS, NPR, and PBS. Telling a lefty that he’s being spoon fed his mantra is impossible, because their culture prides itself on being intelligent and informed. Telling a righty that he’s being programed by spin and graphics doesn’t work because they see themselves as the new conservatives. Smart, informed, real.

    Listen to both. Learn to think for yourself people.

    Finally – at least be adult and post your real handle when you’re gonna disagree with someone. Hiding behind a pseudo name, or one that makes fun of someone who’s posted before is proof of your lack of commitment to what you’re getting ready to say.

    let the flames begin

  16. People who think that because a Republican appointee is in charge of PBS, that the guys in the trenches who have been shoveling leftist garbage for years immediately change their stripes! Hello, you moron! The biggest problem with Washington is the UNELECTED bureacracy that persists no matter who is in charge. These folks are interested in growing their power at the expense of the electorate. That makes them big-government activists, which means they are…ta da…liberals. And they will do anything (leaks especially) to remove a leader they don’t like.

    As for news, want to prove liberal bias? Take this five-minute test. The next newspaper you read, count how many times a liberal group or position is identified as “liberal” “left” “far-left” and so forth. Then count how many times the opposite side is identified. Only the “out group” will be identified — and no, Fox News doesn’t count, statistically, when matched up against NBC, CBS, CNN, ABC, Washington Post, LA Times, New York Times, and so on.

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