Apple publicly understating iTunes Music Store downloads?

“Some buzz circulating that Steve Jobs and Apple may be doing a masterful job of understating the success of iTunes to discourage competitive entry. After announcing a 50 million download total, Jobs curiously volunteered the fact that iTunes would fall short of its 100 million total,” Digital Music News reports. “Several months ago, Jobs admitted that the service was essentially a loss leader designed to power sales of iPods, a discouraging note to other potential entrants. Pepsi totals were not layered into recent sales figures, though it is not exactly clear why. Could the download total be much higher than Apple`s published numbers?”

Full article here.

21 Comments

  1. With all of these companies OVERSTATING profits, is it legal to UNDERSTATE?
    And if they are selling more than they are telling and that is still more than 10x the closest competition, then WOW ^_^

  2. pkradd:

    Full disclosure of total sales and losses – yes.

    But do they have to be completely accurate as to the attribution of those sales? In other words, once you dispose of the reporting you must make to comply with SEC regulations, I bet everything else is just funny money until you next make a regulatory filing.

  3. Brett, what planet are you on? Apple stock right now is at a 3 year high, and if ya spent 2K about 1 year ago, yu would have a profit of about $700 now. talk about a significant annual growth for the last 52 weeks, and if you spent 1300 back in 2002 you would more than have doubled your investment. by selling now. So don’t think sareholders are upset with apples performance.

    My only beef is that they dont distribute dividends anymore. Haven’t for many many years, if they did I would have it reinvesting in itself, and watch the number of shares I have grow.

  4. Wow, Lokiz! If I ‘spent’ $1 million ~1 year ago I would have a ‘profit’ of $700k. That’s great: so then if I spent $1300 back in 2002 I would have more than 500 times my investment.

    And yeah, I wish they both distributed a real bunch of dividends, and increased share holder equity at the same time. Then I’d really be in the money!

  5. hey man.. why not… isn’t this the perfect business model..? you make a killing on the most elegant electronics on the planet (ipod line) and none of your competitors are impressed w your financials so they don’t jump in..

    furthermore the death of buymusics can only help

  6. Apple doesn’t need to do that. Their competition should be, and is, doing it for them. Anyone thinking about getting into now only needs to look at the (lack of) success enjoyed by BuyMusic, and Napster. There was an article here just the other day about another company (whose name I don’t remember) who was set to launch a service but did not because they couldn’t find anything that would set them apart from the others, and fuel sales. In and of itself, it’s not a profitable venture. You need to either have money to support the loss, as Microsoft does, or have it drive another segment of your business that is profitable, as Apple does. That being said, I hope that when the end of April rolls around SJ is able to say they sold 125 million songs.

  7. The article notes: “Several months ago, Jobs admitted that the service was essentially a loss leader designed to power sales of iPods”

    Then it is a bit “irrelevant” as far as the revenue flow goes if Apple sells more of something that it loses money on each one than it is admitting. If if loses money on each song and has a shortage of ipods and can�t meet demand then that is one bummer.

  8. Well, whether they’ve been “disappointing” or not, we still won’t know the full impact of the Pepsi promo until after all of the winning codes have been redeemed. They won’t know that total until May 1st because even though the promo ends today, you can still redeem winning codes thru April 30th. Then we’ll see for sure how close Apple got to 100 Million.

  9. Lokiz- what planet r u on!

    I dont debate that it’s at a high (almost) but if you owned 1000 shares, and sold it now at the high, and found out 3 months later apple was diluting info which kept the stock from going higher…I be damn pissed. you invest in a company to make a profit. on my planet selling at 30 is better then selling at 27.

  10. pkradd
    your point is well taken, though (in my mind) it is entirely possible that Jobs could be understating profits. I believe that as long as Apple gives an accurate report of the profit/loss figures to the shareholders and the feds, Jobs can SAY whatever he wants. I’d be interested in knowing whether his remarks about iTunes being a loss leader were said within the context of a shareholder’s meeting, or in an interview, or if they were just an offhand remark.

  11. There has been some discrepancy concerning Jobs quote of iTunes being a loss leader. At the time it was said it was in its early stages. Other follow up reports said that iTMS is making money albeit a small profit at the moment.

    As far as reporting. Yes Apple must reveal to the best of its knowledge profits and loses and is not supposed to mislead by undereporting or overeporting on purpose. The article speculates that this is what is being done. No way. Although SJ and Martha together in the same jail cell would be interesting! ;-]

  12. “With all of these companies OVERSTATING profits, is it legal to UNDERSTATE?”

    Sure, as long as they don’t understate them to the IRS ” width=”19″ height=”19″ alt=”grin” style=”border:0;” />

  13. anyone even joking about legal matters and unreported success is on crack.. this is a strategic move, basically, not tooting its own horn.. the fact that apple could brag about thumping the comp and bring out press releases every other day underscores their admittedly restrained behaviour.

    way to go guys… make em think it’s a loss leader.. if they start profiting, volume, on the songs too…well hey.. you earned it.. you went out and got the ball rolling..

    their only mistake is so much lead time after the first store came out…

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