“The odds are stacked against Apple Inc.’s new iPad reaching sales of 1 million as quickly as the iPhone, an online bookmaker said,” Ryan Flinn reports for Bloomberg. “The iPhone, which went on sale in June 2007, took 74 days to get to the 1 million mark. The iPad, a tablet device that debuts on April 3, has a 72 percent probability of taking longer than that, according to YouWager.com, which began taking bets on the topic this week.”
MacDailyNews Take: Who says there’s no such thing as a sure bet? (BTW: Apple’s iPhone 3G and 3GS both hit 1 million in their first 3 days on the market. Apple sold 8.7 million iPhones in holiday quarter 2009. Also, iPad immediately accesses a vibrant and already-operating App Store, unlike the original iPhone.)
Flinn continues, “‘No matter what they put out on the market, there’s going to be large sales, but with this particular product, we don’t think it’s as practical as the iPhone,’ said Brian Sanz, who works on wagering, auditing and research development for San Jose, Costa Rica-based YouWager.com.”
MacDailyNews Take: Never lay odds on anything you do not understand fully or, worse, barely, Brian.
Flinn continues, “Paddy Power Plc, Ireland’s biggest bookmaker, has open betting with 3-to-1 odds that iPad sales will surge past 6 million in 2010. On the other end of the spectrum, the firm has 8-to-1 odds that fewer than 1 million units will sell.”
MacDailyNews Take: Hmm, does 2010 have a Christmas buying season?
Flinn continues, “Apple has received hundreds of thousands of iPad preorders, the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday, citing people familiar with the matter.”
Full article here.
MacDailyNews Take: Obviously, Apple’s iPad numbers are going to shock everyone from Wall Street analysts to online bookies… Oh, sorry, same thing.