Apple brewing ‘Perfect Storm’ of Mac sales?

“PC users don’t really get the Mac and have never gotten the Mac. Since most of the world talks Windows, it’s no surprise that few in the industry really appreciate the windfall that’s in store for Apple Computer over the next 18 months,” David Morgenstern writes for eWeek.

Morgenstern writes, “The big deal for Mac users will be upgrades, primarily meaning the transition of the installed base of Mac users to the Intel-based machines. The first sign of the pent-up demand for newer, faster Macs can be seen in Apple’s latest quarterly results. The sales of some 800,000 notebooks—almost all the high-priced spread—represents a 61 percent increase from the year-ago quarter. With our internal clocks it feels as if it all must have happened by now. But it’s only just beginning. For example, Apple’s super-loyal base of professional content creators haven’t yet received their Intel machines. However, this cycle isn’t your usual processor upgrade cycle that comes every time Intel or Advanced Micro Devices tweaks a process. This is a major shift that affects all parts of the Mac customer-developer-vendor ecology.”

“This coming Intel transition may prove to be a triple high biorhythm for the Mac. Along with the new Intel models, the Mac market will be bolstered early in 2007 by the arrival of Mac OS X “Leopard” (v10.5) and later in the spring with Intel-compatible versions of major Mac software platforms, such as the Adobe Creative Suite 3 products,” Morgenstern writes.

“Wild cards in the Intel transition mix are ‘switchers,’ the customers persuaded by the demonstrations of content creation in the Apple stores. Will this trend with Windows users switching to Mac continue after the arrival of Windows Vista and its prettier face? Maybe,” Morgenstern writes. “With Vista missing the holiday and back-to-school seasons, many customers are buying Macs. A family in my neighborhood has been all PC since the PC XT. But the eldest son is going off to college and says he wants a Mac. It’s the vanguard of a new generation gap. He’s never owned a Mac but he’s gotta have one—a good sign for Apple.”

Much more in the full article here.

Related MacDailyNews article:
Dude, you got a Dell? What are you, stupid? Only Apple Macs run both Mac OS X and Windows! – April 05, 2006

55 Comments

  1. macs are easy to use? so is windows.

    buying a mac is just for style. u can get everything as good as ilife for windows, u just have to shop around and not be lazy. macs are great if u are too lazy to work a computer.

    sales go up sales go down… still most people buy windows because windows works just fine. thats WHY everyone uses it.

  2. The new Intel macs are like that frosted-on-one-side wheat cereal that can run Windows too! (The Macs, not the cereal, silly) They are like the old-school reese’s peanut butter cup commercial’s (“You got Intel chips in my Macintosh!”, “No, you got a solid 21st century and stable operating system in my PC!”) But most of all, Macs are like those Pixar cartoons which play to the young kiddies, while delivering humorous satire for their adult parents.

    “It’s a gum!”, “No, it’s a mint!”, “It’s both!”

  3. “macs are great if u are too lazy to work a computer.”

    Or if you are a busy highly paid professional who needs to get things done, not endlessly fidget with the damn thing to make it work!

    Scientists use macs. Creatives use macs. Lemmings use whatever they are told to.

  4. “macs are easy to use? so is windows.”

    Even if that is true, now Windows users can buy Macs and use their precious Windows. That the difference now… why not get a nicely designed computer that can run ANYTHING.

    Besides, it’s not just about “easy” anymore. It’s about security and stability. It’s about Mac OS X 10.5 making a big splash before Windows Vista. It’s about iPod users wanting to give Macs a shot when they buy a new computer.

    Momentum is definitely on Apple side…

  5. And Windows is fine if you’re too lazy to use proper capitalization, grammar and spelling.

    But I wonder…did that college kid want the Mac because it’s a Mac, or did he want the free iPod that comes with it for educational purchasers? Just curious…

    MW=water; Water down the Mac OS and bingo, you’ve got Windows…

  6. > u can get everything as good as ilife for windows, u just have to shop around and not be lazy.

    and the point of that is?

    why shop around and pay for inferior replacements that aren’t as integrated as iLife?
    you get iLife for free on every new Mac, it’s totally integrated as a suite and it just works… and on top of that, you get the worlds most secure and advanced OS.

    ah well, good luck not being lazy!

  7. PC users don’t really get the Mac and have never gotten the Mac. Since most of the world talks Windows

    If you consider that since 1995, Windows has been .. basically Mac OS (8)…then Apple has a 98% marketshare…

    People get Macs, they can figure out OS X in about 4 seconds..

    Icons on the right.. menu at the top.. (where menus go).. got it.

  8. “Along with the new Intel models, the Mac market will be bolstered early in 2007 by the arrival of Mac OS X ‘Leopard’ (v10.5) […]”

    Ah, but unlike Windows users, Mac users don’t usually go out and buy a new computer just because Appple releases a new version of Mac OS X. So I don’t think that Leopard is going to drive hardware upgrades, but it will still be money in Apple’s bank account.

  9. pete-
    i disagree. i believe ppl will wait for 10.5 to be pre-installed before they buy their computer. why buy a mac now, and then have to pay $120 for the new OS (granted, still way cheaper than xp/vista)? the ppl who are buying macs now are the ppl who are sick of their dell but still “penny pinch” at every oportunity.

  10. Ah, but unlike Windows users, Mac users don’t usually go out and buy a new computer just because Appple releases a new version of Mac OS X. So I don’t think that Leopard is going to drive hardware upgrades, but it will still be money in Apple’s bank account.

    And just to expand on that point, with each version, OS X has become slightly faster which actually improves the useful life of some machines.

    One of my friends has ‘recycled’ his old 1998 Bondi iMac to his sister whose requirements are not that demanding (web, e-mail, the occasional letter, iTunes). It runs Panther (as it doesn’t have a DVD, and he couldn’t be bothered to get the install CDs) despite the fact that its slightly anemic on memory. Obviously, things like Expose don’t work very well, but it still runs.

    Try running Vista on an eight-year old machine, I dare you.

  11. Uh, Mac Sales=who cares guy. It seems that you have been having to “work” your computer way to much lately, so you decided to come and hang out with us who don’t ever have to “work” our computers. Our computers WORK!, not have to be worked. Look up the term “denial”, because it is all over you.
    You have to be curious about the Mac to even be on our forum, pal…save yourself alot of trouble and head over to your Apple store. Troll or not, Apple is still on your mind. Quit being a sheep and make the leap up.

  12. It´s always been the perfect storm to buy a Mac, but 95% of the people still buy Windows.

    99% of recent sales of Macs are to people that already own Macs – if they weren´t then Apple would be crowing about the huge number of Windows buyers being first time Mac owners.

  13. It´s always been the perfect storm to buy a Mac, but 95% of the people still buy Windows.

    99% of recent sales of Macs are to people that already own Macs – if they weren´t then Apple would be crowing about the huge number of Windows buyers being first time Mac owners.

  14. Most people are so cheap – as sheep ! Let them have their Windhose …

    Mac OS X .. runs for five years and has been beautiful from the first version onwards.
    -xp- stumbles with all kind of illnesses and safety packages !

    In the land of the blind one-eyed is king…

  15. As someone working the EDU sales market, these kids aren’t really wowed by the free iPod much. About 80+% of them already have one, and the free one is going to Mom or Dad. They’re sold on zero viruses, built in video camera, Microsoft Office running, expose, dashboard, and style.

    Of course, it didn’t hurt to meet with all the department chairs before orientation and be able to namedrop like a madman during orientations.

  16. Macfanboy…

    It’s because the ability to recycle kit in that way is utterly discounted when they calculate the Macintosh platform’s user share statistics. But, as you have problems with words like ‘fasination’, I would imagine that your grasp of how that kind of stat works would be pretty sketchy.

    Let me ask you a question in return: what’s the fascination (see how easy it is to proof-read) in using an old, dated, slow, insecure operating systems? But enough about Vista, why do you insist on using Windows XP.

  17. Neat & Tidy, you wrote “99% of recent sales of Macs are to people that already own Macs.” I KNOW you made that up, because Apple has in fact mentioned specifically in their recent 3rd-quarter report (July 19, 2006) that 50% of their Mac sales in their retail stores are switchers. That leaves the remaining 50% to be divided between new computer users and existing Mac users. Thus, there are actually much more Windows users buying Macs than Mac users buying at the Apple Stores. Online sales may be less for PC switchers because they probably want to actually see and feel the Mac before making a purchase.

    More on the topic of the recent flood of switchers can be found here…
    http://www.macworld.co.uk/news/index.cfm?RSS&NewsID=12117

  18. Hey ‘neat & tidy’….

    You stated;

    “99% of recent sales of Macs are to people that already own Macs – if they weren´t then Apple would be crowing about the huge number of Windows buyers being first time Mac owners.”

    Apple DID crow about the number of Windoze users buying Macs…

    But you must’ve been busy downloading your daily feed of anti-virus, anti-spyware,anti-malware, critical vendor driver updates, windoze updates, etc, etc, etc to notice…

    On Apple’s quarterly results call, Apple stated;

    “50% of Mac buyers at Apple Retail Stores are new to Mac.”

    Duh….

  19. Fanatic Realist, c’mon… you really shouldn’t take credit for proof-reading your browser text boxes. We all know that your Mac can spell check the text in a browser text box on the fly, and with a single right/control-click you can correct it… you have a Mac!

    Windows can do this, right?

    Oh… sorry!

  20. The other elementin the perfect storm is Visat. When it finally comes out (assuming it does), Windows users will discover that they need a new computer to run it. And many of them will decide to buy a Mac because the comparisons to Tiger and Leopard will be given a lot of play in the press.

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